Recent Updates
- Japan: ** Japan IP forecasts have rebased from 2010=100 to 2015=100. We are currently working on processing the new data.**
- ** New Zealand Jobs Online has changed its reported frequency from monthly to quarterly and rebased from August 2010=100 to Q4 2010=100. **
- Turkey: International Reserves (Mar); Mauritius: PPI Press (Mar)
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- more updates...
Economy in Brief
Kansas City Federal Reserve Factory Index Hits Record High
The Kansas City Fed reported that its index of regional manufacturing sector business activity surged to a record 26...
U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Decline Sharply
Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell sharply to 209,000 (-17.1% y/y)...
German Confidence Flattens and Falters
German confidence for May is mooted at a 97.8% queue percentile standing...
U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Are Little Changed; Rates Remain High
The MBA total Mortgage Applications Volume Index eased 0.2% last week (-1.9% y/y)...
Japan Shows Very Moderate Growth As Trade War Clouds Gather
Japan’s sector indexes showed a solid gain in February...
by Tom Moeller May 11, 2016
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Market Volume Index nudged 0.4% higher last week (18.9% y/y) following a 3.4% decline. Purchase applications also improved 0.4% (14.0% y/y) after little change in the prior week while application to refinance rose 0.5% (23.0% y/y) after a 5.5% drop.
The effective interest rate on a 15-year mortgage fell to 3.15%, and reversed the prior week's rise. Rates remained down from the 3.50% highs of November and December. The effective rate on a 30-year fixed-rate loan of 3.92% also was lower versus 4.28% near year-end. The rate on a Jumbo 30-year loan was little changed w/w at 3.83%. For adjustable 5-year mortgages, the effective interest rate was 3.01%.
The average mortgage loan size increased w/w to $283,700 (5.5% y/y). For purchases, it rose to $305,200 (2.2% y/y); for refinancings, it firmed to $264,400 (10.1% y/y).
Applications for fixed interest rate loans increased 19.6% y/y, while adjustable-rate loan applications rose 8.0% y/y.
The survey covers over 75 percent of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications, and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
Consumers' Income Growth Expectations Strengthen, Labor Market Expectations Weaken Slightly from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York is available here.
MBA Mortgage Applications (%, SA) | 05/06/16 | 04/29/16 | 04/22/16 | Y/Y | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 0.4 | -3.4 | -4.1 | 18.9 | 17.9 | -41.4 | -24.2 |
Purchase | 0.4 | -0.1 | -2.4 | 14.0 | 15.5 | -12.9 | 5.2 |
Refinancing | 0.5 | -5.5 | -5.0 | 23.0 | 15.1 | -52.8 | -31.9 |
15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%) | 3.15 | 3.22 | 3.18 | 3.33 | 3.37 | 3.54 | 3.42 |