Recent Updates
- Euro area: CSPP Holdings Detail (Q1)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Housing Affordability Fell Back in February, but Still in Recent Range
The NAR U.S. Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index decreased 7.6% (-1.4% y/y) in February to 173.1...
European New Car Registrations Remarkably Strong Yet Forgettable
Car registrations are not going to be the only statistic that bears these dual and seemingly dueling characteristics...
U.S. Retail Sales Soar in March
Total retail sales including food service and drinking establishments increased 9.8% (27.7% y/y) during March...
U.S. Industrial Production Rebounded in March
Industrial production rebounded in March, rising 1.4% m/m (+1.0% y/y)...
U.S. Home Builder Index Edges Higher in April
The NAHB-Wells Fargo Composite Housing Market Index rose 1.2% to 83 during April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller October 22, 2015
Initial claims for unemployment insurance notched higher during the week ended October 15 to 259,000 from 256,000 during the prior week, revised from 255,000. The figure remained near the November 1973 low. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 265,000 initial claims. The four week moving average eased to 263,250.
The latest figure covers the survey week for October nonfarm payrolls; claims fell 5,000 (1.9%) from the September period. During the last ten years, there has been a 76% correlation between the level of claims and the m/m change in nonfarm payrolls.
In the week ended October 10, continuing claims for unemployment insurance edged up w/w to 2.170 million (-9.1% y/y) and remained near the November 2000 low. The four-week moving average eased to 2.185 million.
The insured rate of unemployment remained at 1.6%, equaling the lowest point since June 2000.
By state, the insured rate of unemployment continued to vary with South Dakota (0.25%), Nebraska (0.55%), New Hampshire (0.66%), North Carolina (0.70%), Virginia (0.72%) and Maine (0.78%) at the low end of the range. At the high end were Massachusetts (1.70%), Connecticut (1.97%), Pennsylvania (1.97%), California (2.00%), New Jersey (2.23%) and Alaska (2.43%). These data are not seasonally adjusted.
Data on weekly unemployment insurance are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states are in REGIONW. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics survey, carried in the AS1REPNA database.
Unemployment Insurance (000s) | 10/17/15 | 10/10/15 | 10/03/15 | Y/Y % | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims | 259 | 256 | 262 | -9.1 | 309 | 343 | 374 |
Continuing Claims | -- | 2,170 | 2,164 | -9.1 | 2,599 | 2,978 | 3,319 |
Insured Unemployment Rate (%) | -- | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 (10/14) |
2.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 |