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Economy in Brief
U.S. Housing Affordability Fell Back in February, but Still in Recent Range
The NAR U.S. Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index decreased 7.6% (-1.4% y/y) in February to 173.1...
European New Car Registrations Remarkably Strong Yet Forgettable
Car registrations are not going to be the only statistic that bears these dual and seemingly dueling characteristics...
U.S. Retail Sales Soar in March
Total retail sales including food service and drinking establishments increased 9.8% (27.7% y/y) during March...
U.S. Industrial Production Rebounded in March
Industrial production rebounded in March, rising 1.4% m/m (+1.0% y/y)...
U.S. Home Builder Index Edges Higher in April
The NAHB-Wells Fargo Composite Housing Market Index rose 1.2% to 83 during April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller September 21, 2015
Sales of existing homes declined 4.8% (-5.4% y/y) during August to 5.310 million (AR) from 5.580 million in July, revised from 5.590 million. July sales were the strongest since February 2007. The latest figure fell short of expectations for 5.50 million sales in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Single-family home sales fell 5.3% last month to 4.690 million (+5.2% y/y). Condo and co-op sales eased 1.6% (+7.3% y/y) after a 3.1% decline.
The median sales price of an existing home fell 1.3% to $228,700 (+4.7% y/y) and was down from June's record $236,300. The average sales price fell 1.6% to $271,600 (+3.0% y/y).
By region, sales in the Northeast held steady at 0.700 million (5.9% y/y) after July's 2.8% decline. In the Midwest, sales eased 1.5% (+5.2% y/y) to 1.280 million and repeated the July drop. Sales in the West retreated 7.8% (+4.9% y/y) to 1.190 million following a 4.0% rise. In the South, sales declined 6.6% (+5.7% y/y) to 2.140 million on the heels of a 4.1% July increase.
The composite index of home affordability fell to 151.2 in July, its lowest level since November 2008. Payments as a percent of income rose to 16.5%, up from 11.7% in January 2013.
The inventory of unsold homes declined 1.7% y/y to 2.290 million. The months supply of homes on the market rose to 5.2 months, down from the 11.9 month high in July 2010.
The data on existing home sales, prices and affordability can be found in Haver's USECON database. The regional price, affordability and inventory data are available in the REALTOR database. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics survey, reported in the AS1REPNA database.
U.S. Output Growth Moderately Strong Amid Slower Global Growth from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas is available here.
Existing Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | Aug | Jul | Jun | Y/Y % | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 5,310 | 5,580 | 5,480 | 5.4 | 4,935 | 5,087 | 4,656 |
Northeast | 700 | 700 | 720 | 5.9 | 645 | 658 | 596 |
Midwest | 1,280 | 1,300 | 1,320 | 5.2 | 1,136 | 1,201 | 1,068 |
South | 2,140 | 2,290 | 2,200 | 5.7 | 2,051 | 2,040 | 1,834 |
West | 1,190 | 1,290 | 1,240 | 4.9 | 1,103 | 1,188 | 1,158 |
Single-Family Sales | 4,690 | 4,950 | 4,830 | 5.2 | 4,334 | 4,473 | 4,125 |
Median Price Total ($, NSA) | 228,700 | 231,800 | 236,300 | 4.7 | 206,708 | 195,667 | 175,433 |