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Economy in Brief
U.S. Housing Affordability Fell Back in February, but Still in Recent Range
The NAR U.S. Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index decreased 7.6% (-1.4% y/y) in February to 173.1...
European New Car Registrations Remarkably Strong Yet Forgettable
Car registrations are not going to be the only statistic that bears these dual and seemingly dueling characteristics...
U.S. Retail Sales Soar in March
Total retail sales including food service and drinking establishments increased 9.8% (27.7% y/y) during March...
U.S. Industrial Production Rebounded in March
Industrial production rebounded in March, rising 1.4% m/m (+1.0% y/y)...
U.S. Home Builder Index Edges Higher in April
The NAHB-Wells Fargo Composite Housing Market Index rose 1.2% to 83 during April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller September 16, 2015
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Market Volume Index fell 7.0% last week (+2.2% y/y) to the lowest level since early last month. Applications to refinance a loan led the decline with a 9.1% fall (+0.5% y/y). Home purchase applications followed with a 4.2% easing (+4.6% y/y) and they have been moving slightly downward since mid-June.
The effective interest rate on a 15-year mortgage was fairly steady at 3.39%, the lowest point since late-May. The effective rate on a 30-year fixed rate loan also held w/w at 4.22% and the rate on a Jumbo 30-year loan was unchanged at 4.11%. For adjustable 5-year mortgages, the effective interest rate held at 3.17%, nearly its lowest level since early-May.
The average mortgage loan size improved m/m to $268,300 (10.7% y/y). For purchases, it rose to $287,600 (6.4% y/y) and for refinancings it was fairly stable at $253,200 (14.5% y/y).
Applications for fixed interest rate loans increased 14.6% y/y while adjustable rate loan applications were roughly stable y/y.
The survey covers over 75 percent of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications, and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (SA, 3/16/90=100) | 09/11/15 | 09/04/15 | 08/28/15 | Y/Y % | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 400.5 | 430.8 | 459.5 | 2.2 | 361.5 | 616.6 | 813.8 |
Purchase | 196.3 | 205.0 | 206.9 | 4.6 | 172.1 | 197.5 | 187.8 |
Refinancing | 1,557.7 | 1,713.4 | 1,902.4 | 0.5 | 1,449.8 | 3,070.0 | 4,505.0 |
15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%) | 3.39 | 3.41 | 3.37 | 3.60 (9/14) |
3.54 | 3.42 | 3.25 |