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U.S. New Home Sales and Prices Strengthen
Sales of new single-family homes during March increased 4.0% (8.8% y/y) to 694,000 (SAAR)...
U.S. FHFA House Price Index Continues to Strengthen
The FHFA index of U.S. house prices rose 0.6% during February...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $2.80 per gallon last week (14.3% y/y)...
Italian Confidence Backtracks But Remains High-Valued As It Is for France and Germany
From Q1 2008 to date, Italian GDP actually has failed to grow and has declined by 5.8%...
U.S. Existing Home Sales & Prices Rise Again
The NAR reported that sales of existing homes increased 1.1% during March (-1.2% y/y) to 5.600 million units (AR)...
by Carol Stone September 10, 2015
Initial claims for unemployment insurance eased to 275,000 during the week ended September 5 from the previous week's 281,000. This latter figure was revised from 282,000, a small but unusual downward adjustment in a series that is generally revised higher with later reporting. The four-week moving average through September 5 rose marginally to 275,750 from the prior 275,500. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 275,000 initial claims in the latest week. During the last ten years, there has been a 76% correlation between the level of initial claims and the m/m change in nonfarm payrolls.
In the week ended August 29, continuing claims for unemployment insurance rose to 2.260 million (-9.6% y/y) from the previous week's 2.259 million. That four-week moving average edged up to 2.266 million and has been moving sideways since mid-July. The accompanying insured rate of unemployment remained at 1.7%, near the lowest point since June 2000.
By state, the insured rate of unemployment continued to vary with South Dakota (0.32%), Nebraska (0.59%), North Dakota (0.63%), Utah (0.68%) and Indiana (0.76%) at the low end of the range. At the high end were California (2.28%), Alaska (also 2.28%), Pennsylvania (2.43%), Connecticut (2.69%) and New Jersey (2.94%). These data are not seasonally adjusted and cover the week ended August 22.
Data on weekly unemployment insurance are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states are in REGIONW. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics survey, carried in the AS1REPNA database.
Unemployment Insurance (000s) | 09/05/15 | 08/29/15 | 08/22/15 | Y/Y % | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims | 275 | 281 | 270 | -11.0 | 309 | 343 | 374 |
Continuing Claims | -- | 2,260 | 2,259 | -9.6 | 2,599 | 2,978 | 3,319 |
Insured Unemployment Rate (%) | -- | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.9 (8/14) |
2.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 |