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Economy in Brief
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The NAR U.S. Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index decreased 7.6% (-1.4% y/y) in February to 173.1...
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Car registrations are not going to be the only statistic that bears these dual and seemingly dueling characteristics...
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Total retail sales including food service and drinking establishments increased 9.8% (27.7% y/y) during March...
U.S. Industrial Production Rebounded in March
Industrial production rebounded in March, rising 1.4% m/m (+1.0% y/y)...
U.S. Home Builder Index Edges Higher in April
The NAHB-Wells Fargo Composite Housing Market Index rose 1.2% to 83 during April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller June 29, 2015
The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas reported that its June Composite index of factory sector activity improved to -7.0 during June, its least negative reading since January. The figure reflected modest improvement in production, employment, shipments, capacity utilization and wages & benefits. Raw materials pricing power jumped into positive territory, the firmest reading since November.
The business activity reading for six months ahead of 8.1 was its best number since December, but remained down from the April 2014 high of 25.3. Improvement in the future general business activity, employment and wages & benefits series led the way higher. There was slight deterioration in most of the other component series including shipments, production and the growth rate of new orders.
The diffusion indexes are calculated as the percentage of total respondents reporting increases minus the percentage reporting declines. Firms are asked whether output, employment, orders, prices and other indicators increased, decreased or remained unchanged over the previous month. The data can be found in Haver's SURVEYS database.
Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Survey (SA, Percent Balance) | Jun | May | Apr | Jun '14 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
General Business Activity Versus One Month Ago | -7.0 | -20.8 | -16.0 | 11.9 | 8.3 | 2.2 | -0.6 |
Production | -6.5 | -13.5 | -4.7 | 16.2 | 14.6 | 9.8 | 8.7 |
Growth Rate of New Orders | -16.5 | -15.2 | -15.5 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 0.1 | -2.8 |
Number of Employees | -1.2 | -8.2 | 1.8 | 13.7 | 11.5 | 5.6 | 11.8 |
Prices Received for Finished Goods | -1.9 | -8.7 | -7.7 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
Business Activity in Six Months | 8.1 | 4.9 | -5.9 | 19.3 | 17.4 | 11.0 | 7.6 |
Production | 35.2 | 38.6 | 28.2 | 44.3 | 42.7 | 37.1 | 32.4 |
Future New Orders Growth Rate | 21.1 | 27.3 | 19.6 | 31.3 | 31.5 | 25.0 | 19.5 |
Number of Employees | 16.9 | 14.1 | 12.4 | 29.8 | 28.6 | 23.1 | 19.1 |
Wages & Benefits | 31.0 | 30.6 | 34.2 | 45.3 | 43.0 | 38.2 | 34.2 |