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Economy in Brief

U.S. Consumer Credit Growth Remains Moderate
by Tom Moeller  June 10, 2013

Usage of consumer credit picked up in April but trend growth remained moderate, according to the Federal Reserve. Credit grew $11.1B (5.9% y/y) following an $8.4B increase during March, initially reported as $8.0B. These increases compare to gains between $13.3B and $19.1B during the prior five months. Consensus expectations were for a rise of $13.5B, as measured by Action Economics.

Non-revolving credit growth  picked up a bit to $10.3B after a $9.3B increase. The y/y increase at 8.1% remained nearly its strongest since late-2002. Federal government loans rose nearly one-quarter y/y, credit union lending rose 10.8%  y/y, commercial bank loans gained 4.7% y/y while securitized loans increased 2.2% y/y. Borrowing from savings institutions advanced 1.0% y/y and finance companies loans were roughly unchanged y/y. Non-revolving credit accounts for roughly two-thirds of the credit total. In contrast, consumers usage of revolving credit remained tame. It gained 0.7B after a $0.9B March dip. The y/y increase remained a modest 1.1%. That compared to 9.0% growth at its early-2008 peak. Savings institution loans advanced 10.0% y/y, credit union lending grew 7.9% y/y and commercial bank loans rose 2.7% y/y. Pools of securitized assets increased 2.0% y/y. To the downside, borrowing from finance companies dropped 13.1% y/y.

The figures used in this report are break-adjusted and calculated by Haver Analytics. There is a break in the credit outstanding data from November 2010 to December 2010 due to the Fed's benchmarking process. Benchmark estimates are based on the Census of Finance Companies (CFC) and the Survey of Finance Companies (SFC) conducted in 2010 and 2011, respectively. The consumer credit data are available in Haver's USECON database. The Action Economics figures are in the AS1REPNA database. 

 

Consumer Credit Outstanding (M/M Chg, SA) Apr Mar Feb Y/Y 2012 2011 2010
Total $11.1B $8.4B $19.1B 5.9% 5.8% 3.7% -0.7%
   Revolving 0.7 -0.9 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.2 -7.5
   Non-revolving 10.3 9.3 17.7 8.1 8.4 5.5 3.4
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