- Ireland: Money Supply (Sep), Credit Measures (Sep)
- US: Consumer Sentiment (Oct-final), Employment Cost Index (Q3), Personal Income (Sep)
- Spain: Capacity Utilization (Q4), BOP (Aug), Central Govt Debt (Sep), Consumer Confidence (Oct)
- Consumer Sentiment Detail (Oct-final)
- US: Chicago PMI, Milwaukee PMI (Oct)
- US: Underlying NIPA Tables (Q3-Adv), Key Source Data (Q3)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Employment Cost Index Strengthens
The employment cost index for private industry workers jumped 0.7% (2.3% y/y) in Q3'14, following an unrevised 0.8% Q2 rise...
U.S. GDP Growth in Q3 Is Stronger Than Expected
GDP grew 3.5% last quarter (2.3% y/y) following an unrevised 4.6% rise...
U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Tick Higher
Initial claims for unemployment insurance during the week ended October 25 rose to 287,000 (-17.1% y/y) from 284,000...
EU Indices Head Higher in October
The EU overall sentiment index rose to a level of 104 in October from 103.5 in September...
FOMC Ends QE As Economy Improves & Inflation Remains Low
The Fed indicated that labor market improvement, moderate growth in household spending and positive business investment growth allowed for ending QE...
U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Pull Back
The MBA total Mortgage Market Volume Index declined 6.6% last week (-20.2% y/y) following three week's of improvement...
by Tom Moeller January 23, 2013
The Mortgage Bankers Association index of total mortgage applications rose 7.0% (15.4% y/y) last week yet still were below the late-September peak. Applications to refinance an existing loan rose another 7.7% (15.3% y/y), adding to the sharp gains in the prior two weeks. Home purchase applications rose a moderate 2.5% (16.3% y/y) following the prior week's 12.9% jump.
Applications for fixed interest rate loans rose 17.5% y/y while adjustable rate loan applications fell 22.0% y/y. The average mortgage loan size was $212,700. The average for home purchases was $250,200 last week while for refinancings it was $204,200. The average size of a fixed rate loan was $199,700 last week and for variable rate loans it was $559,300.
The effective rate on fixed-interest, conventional 15-year mortgages was 2.97% and remained down compared to 3.47% in January. The effective rate on a 30-year fixed rate was 3.74% last week while the rate on a Jumbo 30-year loan was 3.94%. Though it's recently narrowed, the spread between 15- and 30-year loan rates continued wide by historical standards. The effective interest rate on an adjustable 5-year mortgage was roughly stable at 2.73%, down from its 3.93% high during February of last year.
The Mortgage Bankers Association surveys between 20 to 35 of the top lenders in the U.S. housing industry to derive its refinance, purchase and market indexes. The weekly survey covers roughly 50% of all U.S. residential mortgage applications processed each week by mortgage banks, commercial banks and thrifts. The figures for weekly mortgage applications are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
|MBA Mortgage Applications (SA, 3/16/90=100)||01/18/13||01/11/13||01/04/13||Y/Y%||2012||2011||2010|
|Total Market Index||894.8||836.5||726.4||15.4||813.8||572.3||659.3|
|15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%)||2.97||2.95||2.98||3.47