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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Move Lower Despite Interest Rate Stability
The Mortgage Bankers Association indicated that total applications for
a home mortgage fell 3.3% w/w following a 5.0% rise during the prior week...
Japan's Trade Trends
Japan's yen-based current account deficit eroded again in May as exports rose by 3.2% as imports rose faster by 4.7%...
U.S. Housing Starts Rise As Multi-family Recovers
Housing starts recovered last month following a sharp
April decline...
U.S. CPI Ticks Higher But Food Prices Slip
The cost of living remains under control. The consumer price index
edged up a minimal 0.1% in May...
U.S. Chain Store Sales Tick Up W/W but Trend Lower
Consumer spending this month seems to be on a weak footing...
U.S. Gasoline Prices Slip While Crude Oil Strengthens
The price of regular gasoline retreated last week to $3.63 per
gallon but remained up 2.6% versus last year...
by Tom Moeller January 23, 2013
The Mortgage Bankers Association index of total mortgage applications rose 7.0% (15.4% y/y) last week yet still were below the late-September peak. Applications to refinance an existing loan rose another 7.7% (15.3% y/y), adding to the sharp gains in the prior two weeks. Home purchase applications rose a moderate 2.5% (16.3% y/y) following the prior week's 12.9% jump.
Applications for fixed interest rate loans rose 17.5% y/y while adjustable rate loan applications fell 22.0% y/y. The average mortgage loan size was $212,700. The average for home purchases was $250,200 last week while for refinancings it was $204,200. The average size of a fixed rate loan was $199,700 last week and for variable rate loans it was $559,300.
The effective rate on fixed-interest, conventional 15-year mortgages was 2.97% and remained down compared to 3.47% in January. The effective rate on a 30-year fixed rate was 3.74% last week while the rate on a Jumbo 30-year loan was 3.94%. Though it's recently narrowed, the spread between 15- and 30-year loan rates continued wide by historical standards. The effective interest rate on an adjustable 5-year mortgage was roughly stable at 2.73%, down from its 3.93% high during February of last year.
The Mortgage Bankers Association surveys between 20 to 35 of the top lenders in the U.S. housing industry to derive its refinance, purchase and market indexes. The weekly survey covers roughly 50% of all U.S. residential mortgage applications processed each week by mortgage banks, commercial banks and thrifts. The figures for weekly mortgage applications are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
| MBA Mortgage Applications (SA, 3/16/90=100) | 01/18/13 | 01/11/13 | 01/04/13 | Y/Y% | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Market Index | 894.8 | 836.5 | 726.4 | 15.4 | 813.8 | 572.3 | 659.3 |
| Purchase | 214.9 | 209.6 | 185.7 | 16.3 | 187.8 | 182.6 | 199.8 |
| Refinancing | 4,916.7 | 4,563.7 | 3,956.6 | 15.3 | 4,505.0 | 2,858.4 | 3,348.1 |
| 15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%) | 2.97 | 2.95 | 2.98 | 3.47 (1/12) |
3.25 | 3.97 | 4.39 |





