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- US: Consumer Sentiment (May-final), Personal Income, Adv Trade & Inventories (Apr)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Advance Trade Deficit Narrowed Markedly in April
The advance estimate of the U.S. international trade deficit in goods narrowed to $105.9 billion in April...
As Inflation Overshoots, Are Central Banks Overdoing It?
This report is a reminder of how complicated inflation and monetary policy making can be...
U.S. GDP Decline is Little-Revised in Q1'22; Corporate Profits Fall
U.S. real GDP fell 1.5%, SAAR (+3.5% y/y) last quarter...
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller November 28, 2012
New home buyers were hesitant to commit last month. New home sales in October slipped 0.3% to 368,000 (SAAR) from 369,000 during September, revised from 389,000. The figure fell short of Consensus expectations for 388,000 sales. Home sales in the Northeast fell by nearly one third m/m (+10.5% y/y) to 21,000. Also depressed were sales in the South which fell 11.6% (+9.3% y/y) to 176,000. The Commerce Department indicated that there was "minimal" effect on the data from Hurricane Sandy. Conversely, new home sales in the Midwest jumped by nearly-two thirds (17.6% y/y) to 60,000 and sales in the West rose 8.8% (33.7% y/y) to 111,000.
Home pricing also suffered last month and the median price of a new single family home fell 4.2% to $237,700 (+5.7% y/y) but prices in prior months were revised higher. The average price fell to $278,900 (8.0% y/y) during October.
The length of time to sell a new home fell sharply m/m to 5.9 months last month, the least since 2007. The inventory of unsold homes at 147,000 (-7.5% y/y) remained near its all time low. This is a 4.8 month supply at the current sales rate and down from the early-2009 high of 12.2 months.
The data in this report are available in Haver's USECON database. The consensus expectation figure is from the Action Economics survey and is available in the AS1REPNA database.
U.S. New Home Sales | Oct | Sep | Aug | Y/Y % | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total (SAAR, 000s) | 368 | 369 | 366 | 17.2 | 307 | 321 | 374 |
Northeast | 21 | 31 | 26 | 10.5 | 21 | 31 | 31 |
Midwest | 60 | 37 | 55 | 17.6 | 45 | 45 | 54 |
South | 176 | 199 | 178 | 9.3 | 169 | 173 | 202 |
West | 111 | 102 | 107 | 33.7 | 72 | 74 | 87 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | $237,700 | $248,000 | $254,000 | 5.7 | 224,317 | 221,242 | 214,500 |