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Economy in Brief
PMIs Stabilize or Creep Higher After Drop-Off
In the EMU, both the services and manufacturing sectors took a substantial step down one month ago...
FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Strengthen Selectively
The FIBER Industrial Materials Price Index increased 0.4% during the last four weeks...
German PPI Accelerates
The German year-on-year PPI has generally been decelerating since early 2017...
U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Signal Continued Expansion
The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators increased 0.3% during March...
Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Improve; Prices Jump
The Philadelphia Fed reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index rose to 23.2 during April...
by Tom Moeller June 20, 2012
As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee today left the Federal
funds rate in a "range from 0 to 1/4 percent." The Fed funds
rate has remained unchanged since late-2008 at its lowest level ever. The
discount rate also was left unchanged at 0.75%. The Fed indicated that the
economy may warrant an exceptionally low Fed funds rate at least through
late 2014.
Some change in the assessment of the economy was evident in the Fed's communiqué versus earlier meetings. "... growth in employment has slowed in recent months, and the unemployment rate remains elevated." Moreover, "Household spending appears to be rising at a somewhat slower pace than earlier in the year."
The Fed also changed its prior inflation call. "Inflation has declined, mainly reflecting lower prices of crude oil and gasoline, and longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable."
The Fed's economic projections call for GDP growth to pickup to 2.50% and 3.25% next year and 2014, respectively. Overall inflation and core inflation expectations were lowered to 1.75% and 1.80%, respectively. The unemployment rate is expected to fall to 7.35% in 2014.
The Committee also decided to continue through the end of the year its program to extend the average maturity of its holdings of securities.
The press release for today's FOMC meeting can be found here.
The Haver databases USECON, WEEKLY and DAILY contain the figures from the Federal Reserve Board.
Current | Last | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Federal Funds Rate, % (Target) | 0.00-0.25 | 0.00-0.25 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 1.93 |
Discount Rate, % | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.72 | 0.50 | 2.39 |