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Economy in Brief

EMU MFG PMIs Show Strength
by Robert Brusca   January 03, 2011

EMU PMIs are in a clear revival despite concerns about austerity in 2011 and market-related financing concerns. This week the Zone's access to market credit is tested as several issuers hit the finical trough for sustenance. Against the back ground of this improved economic data access might be granted.

The Zone's index for MFG advances to a strong 57.1 in December from 53.3 in November. It stands in the 97th percentile of its range just a tick stronger than Germany's standing in its own range (but at a higher level for Germany). This drives home the point that that it is the whole of the EMU that is doing well but just the contribution of a strong German reading to an otherwise weak region.

Among the eight reporters in the table only France and Greece took a step back in December. While there are concerns about a debt downgrade in France the MFG index despite this downtick has the send strongest standing in its range among all these reports. Greece stand alone at the very weak 28th percentile of its range, a very low and difficult standing. Greece is under a lot of pressure, a heavy debt burden and high tax rate amid severe austerity measures to cope with its economic difficulties.

Ireland whose problems are more recent continues to post a reading in the top 15% of its range. Spain's MFG reading is in the top 20% and Italy's index stands in the top 13%. The countries on people's lists of being possibly in trouble are still showing improvement and solid to strong manufacturing gains - for the most part.

It's a good start to the new year's data.

Markit  MFG Indices
  Dec-10 Nov-10 Oct-10 3Mo 6Mo 12Mo Percentile
Euro-13 57.11 55.33 54.60 55.68 55.42 55.40 97.6%
Germany 60.71 58.10 56.61 58.47 58.31 58.29 97.1%
France 57.18 57.92 55.18 56.76 55.86 55.76 96.8%
Italy 54.73 51.96 53.01 53.23 53.25 53.27 87.9%
Spain 51.46 50.02 51.22 50.90 50.86 50.61 80.1%
Austria 57.66 55.23 56.02 56.30 56.64 56.78 90.2%
Greece 43.05 43.89 43.62 43.52 43.91 43.76 28.5%
Ireland 52.24 51.17 50.89 51.43 50.88 51.19 85.9%
Netherlands 57.49 56.54 55.41 56.48 55.39 55.78 90.2%
Percentile is over range since March 2000
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