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Economy in Brief
Japan’s Trade Surplus Returns Even As Trade Flows Slow
While the IMF has just lifted its outlook for growth in 2018, Japan is logging weaker and weaker export and import growth as the year progresses...
U.S. Industrial Production Strengthens; Factory Output Ticks Higher
The Fed reported that industrial production increased 0.5% (4.3% y/y) during March...
U.S. Housing Starts and Building Permits Recover
Total housing starts in March increased 1.9% to 1.319 million units (SAAR)...
U.S. Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices Strengthen
Retail gasoline prices rebounded to $2.75 per gallon last week (22.8% y/y)...
ZEW Expectations Take a Dive: From Fear to Eternity
Current conditions indexes in the ZEW framework usually do not change by much month-to-month...
by Tom Moeller September 24, 2010
With no government help and no jobs growth, home sales remain mired. The Census Department indicated that August new home sales were even with July at 288,000. July's figure was revised up from 276,000 while May sales of 282,000 were the series' low. Expectations were for August sales of 295,000. The stability of home sales last month reflected varied changes across the country's regions. Sales in the Northeast rose slightly m/m and have bounced around the series' bottom for twelve months. Sales in the West also rose m/m. But in the Midwest and South sales continued to fall to new lows.
The low level of sales last month caused median home prices to fall to the lowest level since December 2003. The 1.2% y/y decline to $204,700 was accompanied by a slight rise in the average price of a new home to $248,800 (-3.5% y/y), also near the lowest since 2003.
At the current sales rate, the months' supply of unsold homes was roughly constant at 8.6, nearly the highest in a year. The latest remained well below the early-2009 high of 12.1 months. The inventory of unsold homes was down 21.4% from last year and down nearly two-thirds from the 2006 peak.
The data in this report are available in Haver's USECON database.
American Dream or American Obsession? The Economic Benefits and Costs of Homeownership from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia is available here.
US New Homes | August | July | June | Y/Y | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Sales (SAAR, 000s) | 288 | 288 | 312 | -28.9% | 372 | 481 | 769 |
Northeast | 35 | 30 | 35 | -5.4 | 32 | 35 | 64 |
Midwest | 34 | 46 | 47 | -38.2 | 54 | 69 | 118 |
South | 148 | 166 | 173 | -28.2 | 201 | 264 | 409 |
West | 71 | 46 | 57 | -33.6 | 87 | 113 | 178 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | 204,700 | 205,900 | 218,000 | -1.2% | 214,500 | 230,408 | 243,742 |