Recent Updates
- Canada: Wholesale Trade, MSIO (Nov)
- Canada Regional: Wholesale Trade, MSIO by Province (Nov)
- US: Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Business Outlook Survey (Jan)
- Hungary: Wages (Nov), Fostered Workers, Social Security Balance (Dec), Maturity Profile of Central Government Debt (Q4)
- Ireland: PPI, WPI (Dec), Personal Bankruptcy (Q4)
- Mexico: Employment (Dec)
- Budget Implementation (Nov)
- Iraq: Internal Public Debt
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
Delay in Release
of Data for Construction, MSIO, Intl Trade, Wholesale Trade, Monthly Treasury, Retail Sales, Business Sales & Inventories, and Housing Starts Due to Lapse in Federal Government Funding.
Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Slumps Again in January
The Philadelphia Fed reported that its Nonmanufacturing Business Index of current conditions at the company level slumped further to -0.2 in January...
U.S. Industrial Production Celebrates 100 Years With An Increase
In the 100th anniversary of it release, industrial production rose a greater-than-expected 0.3% (3.9% year-on-year) during December...
U.K. Retail Sales Begin to Lose Momentum
U.K. retail sales fell by a sharp 1% in December...
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Rebounds; Pricing Pressure Eases
The Philadelphia Fed reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index increased to 17.0 during January...
by Robert Brusca December 10, 2008
Output plunges in Italy and in France
In France a large part of the drop in IP is the weakened auto
sector. Output in the auto sector fell by 14.3%. Declines, as the table
shows, are widespread. The drops in output in France and in Italy are
worse than those in 2000 -2001. Output drops in France are gathering
momentum across sectors with the exception of capital goods. Italy
shows much the same situation with sequential growth rates indicating a
quickening pace of decline across sectors –the consumer sector being an
unpersuasive exception. In the quarter to date both countries show
sharp declines in output are underway in the -17% to -18% range
(annualized). Europe is in the throes of the severe output decline
phase of the recession. There are riots in Greece that mix some civil
unrest in with protests about how the economy is being managed.
| French IP excluding Construction | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saar except m/m | Oct-08 | Sep-08 | Aug-08 | 3-mo | 6-mo | 12-mo | Quarter-to-date |
| IP total | -2.7% | -0.8% | -0.5% | -14.7% | -12.3% | -7.2% | -18.3% |
| Consumer Goods | -0.4% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -4.6% | -1.8% | -3.3% | -4.3% |
| Capital Goods | -0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 1.0% | -4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Intermediate Goods | -3.5% | -1.7% | -0.9% | -22.0% | -16.3% | -10.1% | -26.0% |
| Memo | |||||||
| Auto | -14.3% | -5.9% | -0.2% | -58.2% | -44.4% | -29.2% | -69.3% |
| Italy IP excluding Construction | |||||||
| Saar except m/m | Oct-08 | Sep-08 | Aug-08 | 3-mo | 6-mo | 12-mo | Quarter-to-date |
| IP-MFG | -1.1% | -2.9% | 0.1% | -14.6% | -12.9% | -6.8% | -16.7% |
| Consumer Goods | 0.8% | -3.3% | 0.6% | -7.6% | -11.1% | -4.6% | -7.4% |
| Capital Goods | -1.5% | -2.7% | -1.1% | -19.1% | -18.2% | -8.7% | -19.9% |
| Intermediate Goods | -2.1% | -3.5% | 0.9% | -17.5% | -13.4% | -8.3% | -22.3% |
| Memo | |||||||
| Transportation | -5.8% | -5.6% | 1.7% | -33.4% | -30.5% | -19.8% | -42.9% |
