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Economy in Brief
Japan’s Trade Surplus Returns Even As Trade Flows Slow
While the IMF has just lifted its outlook for growth in 2018, Japan is logging weaker and weaker export and import growth as the year progresses...
U.S. Industrial Production Strengthens; Factory Output Ticks Higher
The Fed reported that industrial production increased 0.5% (4.3% y/y) during March...
U.S. Housing Starts and Building Permits Recover
Total housing starts in March increased 1.9% to 1.319 million units (SAAR)...
U.S. Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices Strengthen
Retail gasoline prices rebounded to $2.75 per gallon last week (22.8% y/y)...
ZEW Expectations Take a Dive: From Fear to Eternity
Current conditions indexes in the ZEW framework usually do not change by much month-to-month...
by Tom Moeller September 24, 2008
The level of existing homes during August fell 2.2% m/m to 4.910 million. The figure, reported by the National Association of Realtors, followed a 3.5% increase during July which was revised up modestly. The figure about matched Consensus expectations for a selling rate of 4.94M homes. Total sales include sales of condos and co-ops.
Sales of existing single-family homes fell a lesser 1.4% and have moved sideways since last Fall. These sales have a longer history than the total and they were still near their lowest level since early-1998.
By region, home sales in the Northeast reversed all of their July improvement with a 6.6% (-15.0% y/y) decline. Sales out West also fell 5.3% (+4.9% y/y) and reversed the July increase. Working the other way, sales in the Midwest rose 0.9% (-12.3% y/y) and in the South sales also reversed the July downtick and inched up 0.5% (-15.1% y/y).
Median home prices fell 3.4% last month after a downwardly revised 2.2% drop during July.
The number of unsold homes (condos & single-family) on the market fell 7.0% from July (-2.9% y/y). At the current sales rate the inventory fell slightly to a 10.4 months supply which is near the record high for this series. For single-family homes, however, the inventory fell a bit more to a 10.0 months supply at the current sales rate. That was down from an 11.0 months supply in June.
Why Do Chinese Households Save So Much? from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis is available here.
Existing Home Sales (Thous) | August | y/y % | July | August '07 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 4,910 | -10.7 | 5,020 | 5,500 | 5,672 | 6,508 | 7,076 |
Northeast | 850 | -15.0 | 910 | 1,000 | 1,008 | 1,090 | 1,168 |
Midwest | 1,140 | -12.3 | 1,130 | 1,300 | 1,331 | 1,491 | 1,589 |
South | 1,860 | -15.1 | 1,850 | 2,190 | 2,240 | 2,576 | 2,704 |
West | 1,070 | 4.9 | 1,130 | 1,020 | 1,093 | 1,353 | 1,617 |
Single-Family | 4,350 | -9.6 | 4,410 | 4,810 | 4,958 | 5,703 | 6,181 |
Median Price, Total, $ | 203,100 | -9.5 | 210,300 | 224,400 | 216,617 | 222,000 | 218,217 |