Recent Updates

  • Finland: Bankruptcy Filings (May); Sweden: Economic Tendency Survey (Jun), Financial Accounts (Q1)
  • Germany: PPI (May)
  • Estonia: PPI, Export & Import Price Index (May); Georgia: PPI (May)
  • Malaysia: CPI (May); Taiwan: Foreign Investment (May); Singapore: Weather Statistics (May); Vietnam: First 15 Days of Trade (Jun); China: Telecommunication, IP Value Added by Region, Industrial Output (May)
  • more updates...

Economy in Brief

UK GDP Grows 3%
by Robert Brusca November 26, 2007

UK GDP slipped in the current quarter to a growth rate of 3% from 3.3% in Q2. And while it is a touch below its year/year pace of late it is also a touch above its five year range. Private consumption was strong in Q3 at an annualized quarterly pace of 4.1%. Above last quarter’s pace and well above the five-year trend. Public spending at 1.2% was slow. Capital spending at 6.7% was a sharp rebound but the year/year pace is slowing. Exports and imports each were up sharply on the quarter. Their past trends are hard to compare due to special factors in the historic pattern. Domestic demand remains solid in the UK. At 4.7% the quarter was up sharply and the year/year erosion to a pace of 3.5% was mild and is still above the five-year average. On balance GDP trends seem to be holding up well. It is the path of inflation that remains most in doubt, especially with oil prices flaring. Housing is getting decidedly weaker but there is no evidence of any knock-on impact on GDP.

UK GDP
    Consumption Capital Formation   Domestic
  GDP Private Public Total Housing Exports Imports Demand
% change Q/Q
Q3-07 3.0% 4.1% 1.2% 6.7% #N/A 11.5% 16.7% 4.7%
Q2-07 3.3% 3.0% 1.4% -3.7% 1.7% 0.6% -1.6% 2.6%
Q1-07 3.2% 2.7% 1.9% 4.4% 10.5% 0.9% 4.6% 4.2%
Q4-06 3.3% 4.4% 2.7% 13.7% -9.7% 0.9% -1.8% 2.4%
% change Yr/Yr
Q3-07 3.2% 3.5% 1.8% 5.1% #N/A 3.4% 4.2% 3.5%
Q2-07 3.1% 2.7% 2.0% 6.2% 3.7% -12.4% -9.9% 3.6%
Q1-07 3.1% 3.2% 1.2% 9.0% 6.6% -10.2% -7.1% 3.8%
Q4-06 3.2% 2.6% 1.9% 10.3% 6.4% -2.4% -0.6% 3.6%
5-Yrs 2.8% 2.7% 2.6% 4.4% #N/A 4.0% 4.7% 3.0%
close
large image