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Economy in Brief

NAHB Housing Market Index Fell Again
by Tom Moeller July 17, 2007

The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) fell last month to the lowest level since early 1991. At 28 for June, the index fell 6.7% from May and fell by one third from a year earlier.

During the last twenty years there has been a 76% correlation between the y/y change in the Composite Index and the change in single family housing starts.

The sub-index for current sales also fell 6.5% from May (-38.3% y/y) and the sub-index covering prospective sales in the next six months fell 4.9% m/m (-23.5% y/y).

Traffic of prospective home buyers fell 4.5% (-27.6% y/y).

The NAHB index is a diffusion index based on a survey of builders. Readings above 50 signal that more builders view conditions good than poor.

Visit the National Association of Home Builders.

Nat'l Association of Home Builders June May June '06 2006 2005 2004
Composite Housing Market Index 28 30 42 42 67 68
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