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Economy in Brief
U.S. Housing Affordability Declines Further in June
The NAR Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index fell 3.6% in June...
EMU Output Makes Solid Gain in June
The European Monetary Union posted a 0.7% increase for industrial output in June...
U.S. Producer Prices Fall During July; Core Increase Weakens
The Producer Price Index for Final Demand fell 0.5% during July...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Continue on an Uptrend
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended August 6 rose 14,000 to 262,000...
RICS Survey Points to More U.K. Housing Sector Weakness
The survey of housing market conditions in the U.K. continues to show strength in prices versus weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller January 9, 2007
According to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS, chain store sales last week began the new year with a 0.7% rise. The gain lifted the opening level for 2007 3.0% above the December average which rose just 0.1% from November.
During the last ten years there has been a 45% correlation between the y/y change in chain store sales and the change in nonauto retail sales less gasoline.The ICSC-UBS retail chain-store sales index is constructed using the same-store sales (stores open for one year) reported by 78 stores of seven retailers: Dayton Hudson, Federated, Kmart, May, J.C. Penney, Sears and Wal-Mart.
Going the other way, the leading indicator of chain store sales from ICSC-UBS fell for the third straight week and posted a 0.4% decline.
Mortgage Innovation and Consumer Choice from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco is available here.
ICSC-UBS (SA, 1977=100) | 1/06/07 | 12/30/06 | Y/Y | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Weekly Chain Store Sales | 480.3 | 476.8 | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% |