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Economy in Brief

Chicago Fed Survey of Factory Activity Down
by Tom Moeller November 30, 2006

The Chicago Federal Reserve Bank's Midwest manufacturing index fell 0.4% last month and it was the third consecutive monthly decline. The three month growth rate in the index dropped to -6.5% (AR), its worst since 2003.

During the last ten years there has been a 89% correlation between the y/y change in Chicago's Midwest Mfg. index and the change in US factory sector industrial production. The October Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index can be found here.

The auto sector index registered its fifth decline in the last six months while the steel index fell for the third consecutive month. The machinery index, however, reflected the firm capital goods sector and rose moderately (6.7% y/y).

Industrial Ecology: Environmental and Economic Boon from the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston can be found here.

Federal Reserve Surveys October September Oct. '05 2005 2004 2003
Chicago Fed Midwest Mfg. Index (2002 = 100) 106.1 106.5 103.6 102.1 100.4 97.1
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