Recent Updates

  • US: Consumer Sentiment (Jan-prelim), IP & Capacity Utilization (Dec)
  • Consumer Sentiment (Jan-prelim)
  • US: Industrial Production Detail (Dec)
  • Canada: CPI (Dec), Intl Transactions in Securities (Nov)
  • Canada Regional: CPI by Province (Dec)
  • Germany: Hotel and Restaurant Turnover (Nov), Tax Revenues (Q3)
  • Turkey: IIP, International Reserves, Foreign Trade Indexes (Nov)
  • Mexico: Manufacturing Employment (Nov)
  • Colombia: Manufacturing IP, Retail Sales (Nov)
  • more updates...

Economy in Brief

High & Dry: June Temperature Near Record and Rainfall Well Below Average
by Carol Stone July 5, 2006

The national average temperature in June was 71.4°F, up 1.8° from last June and 2.25° higher than the average of the last 86 years. In that 86- year span, only 1933 saw a higher June figure, 72.0°, although several years have been above 71.0°.

Rainfall was a little short this June, and although not nearly a record low, was much less than the last several years. The national average amount was 2.58", compared with 3.15" in June 2005 and 3.52" in June 2004. These were relatively wet times, though, as seen in the table below, with an average since 1921 of 2.92".

These data come from the National Climatic Data Center, a branch of the Commerce Department in the division known as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The National Weather Service is another part of the same Administration. Haver maintains temperature and precipitation by region and state in our REGIONAL database and the national averages are in USECON.

In assessing these data, we made use of some tools in Excel along with the DLX add-in for Excel. Copying codes into a spreadsheet is really easy with the latest versions of DLXVG3. Putting it in "Excel mode" leaves the menus visible. In Excel, we place the cursor in the cell where the first code will appear. In DLXVG3, we highlight the menu item we want, or to get a whole list, we can just click to the left of the first menu item we want and paint down the list as far as needed. Magically (seemingly), the codes and the database name will appear in the spreadsheet.

Instead of the typical date-span entry, we begin to enter the dates manually: for June of each year, we would type in 192106 and 192206. Then, we highlight those cells, grab the box on the corner and drag it down as far as needed. Excel will see the pattern in the dates and replicate it all the way down the column. In setting the range, we'll need to highlight the entire area covering the columns of codenames and the rows of dates. Then when we retrieve the data we'll have June of each year for 86 years for whichever items are of interest to us.

For instance, I retrieved temperatures for the nine special weather regions and used Excel functions to find the maximum, minimum, median and mean. A quick look at these figures and the bottom row of data shows that only one region, the West, set a new temperature record in June, but seven of the nine regions had above-average temperatures for the month. The maximums for each show that most records occurred many years ago: three in the early 1950s, one in 1943 and one in 1933, the same year as the national record. Besides the West, recent records were in the Southwest in 2002 and in the West North Central states in 1988.

Averages for Junes
June Weather June 2006 June 2005 June 2004
2001-2006 1976-2000 1951-1975 1921-2006
Temperature (degrees F) 71.4 69.6 68.5 69.78 69.24 68.26 69.15
Precipitation (inches) 2.58 3.15 3.52 3.07 2.93 2.85 2.92
large image