Recent Updates
- US: Consumer Sentiment (Feb-final), Chicago PMI (Feb),Personal Income, Adv Trade & Inventories (Jan)
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Economy in Brief
Chicago Business Barometer Declines Sharply in February
The ISM-Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer fell 4.3 points in February to 59.5...
Goods Trade Deficit Widened Slightly in January
The advance estimate of the U.S. trade deficit in goods widened slightly to $83.74 billion in January..
Japan's Industrial Sector Mounts a Comeback
Japan's IP surged in January gaining 4.3% compared to December...
Aircraft Orders Boost U.S. Durable Goods Orders in January
Manufacturers' orders for durable goods increased a much larger-than-expected 3.4% m/m (4.5% y/y) in January...
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Increases Again in February
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index rose to 24 in February...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller October 19, 2005
Following three consecutive months of decline, the National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) Composite Housing Market Index gained back in October all of the September drop with a 3.1% increase. Nevertheless the index remained 6.9% below the June peak.
During the last twenty years, year to year changes in the annual composite index had an 85% correlation with the change in single family housing starts.
The m/m increase reflected strong gain throughout the country except in the Northeast.
The October index for sales of single family homes in six months gained back one third of the prior month's 9.1% drop (-8.9% y/y) while the index for current sales reversed all of a modest September fall (-3.9% y/y).
The NAHB index is a diffusion index based on a survey of builders. Readings above 50 signal that more builders view conditions as good than poor.
Visit the National Association of Home Builders.
Nat'l Association of Home Builders | Oct | Sept | Oct '04 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Composite Housing Market Index | 67 | 65 | 69 | 68 | 64 | 61 |