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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Are Mixed
Retail gasoline prices slipped to $2.88 per gallon last week (+24.2% y/y)...
U.S. Home Builder Index Backpedals
The Composite Housing Market Index from the NAHB-Wells Fargo fell 2.9% (+3.0% y/y) to 68 during June ...
Japan's Loses Its Trade Surplus
In May, Japan has logged its second trade deficit in 13 months and only its third in the last 28 months...
U.S. Industrial Production Slips Unexpectedly
The Federal Reserve reported that industrial production eased 0.1% (+3.5% y/y) during May...
Empire State Manufacturing Index Continues to Strengthen
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions rose to 25.0 during June, the highest level in eight months...
by Tom Moeller September 13, 2005
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey for next quarter slipped to 20, down slightly from the average of 21 during the prior three quarters. The index indicates that a net 20% of 16,000 employers expect to increase hiring activity.
Since 1980 there has been a 74% correlation between the Manpower index and the y/y change in non-farm payrolls.
Not seasonally adjusted, 20% of employers planned to raise employment in 4Q04 while 8% planned to decrease employment.
The latest press release from Manpower Inc. covering global employment prospects can be viewed here.
| Manpower Employment Survey | 4Q '05 | 3Q '05 | 4Q '04 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Industries - Net Higher (SA) | 20 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 11 | 11 |
