Recent Updates
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Rise Just 9,000
Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose modestly by 9,000 to 745,000 in the week ended February 27...
U.S. Productivity's Decline Lessened in Q4'20; Reverses Q3 Increase
Revisions to nonfarm business sector productivity indicated a 4.2% decline during Q4'20...
EMU Unemployment Rate Steadies in January
The overall EMU unemployment rate was steady in January, off peak, but still elevated...
U.S. ADP Nonfarm Private Payroll Increase Disappoints in February
Job market strength moderated last month....
U.S. ISM Services Index Weakens in February
The ISM Composite Index of Services Activity declined to 55.3 during February...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller September 13, 2005
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey for next quarter slipped to 20, down slightly from the average of 21 during the prior three quarters. The index indicates that a net 20% of 16,000 employers expect to increase hiring activity.
Since 1980 there has been a 74% correlation between the Manpower index and the y/y change in non-farm payrolls.
Not seasonally adjusted, 20% of employers planned to raise employment in 4Q04 while 8% planned to decrease employment.
The latest press release from Manpower Inc. covering global employment prospects can be viewed here.
| Manpower Employment Survey | 4Q '05 | 3Q '05 | 4Q '04 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Industries - Net Higher (SA) | 20 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 11 | 11 |
