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Economy in Brief
German PPI Accelerates
The German year-on-year PPI has generally been decelerating since early 2017...
U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Signal Continued Expansion
The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators increased 0.3% during March...
Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Improve; Prices Jump
The Philadelphia Fed reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index rose to 23.2 during April...
U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Are Little Changed
Initial unemployment insurance claims slipped to 232,000 (-6.1% y/y) during the week ended April 14...
U.K. Retail Sales Fall
U.K. GDP is expected to cool its jets when the first quarter GDP number is released...
by Tom Moeller August 16, 2005
Consumer prices (CPI-U) rose 0.5% last month following no change in June and a 0.1% decline in May. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% July increase.
Energy prices jumped 3.8% led by a 6.1% (19.5% y/y) increase in gasoline prices to an average $2.29 per gallon. In August gasoline prices have risen further to $2.55 per gallon. Fuel oil prices also posted a strong 6.2% (34.3% y/y increase while natural gas prices gained 1.1% (7.1% y/y) and have strengthened further this month..
Less food & energy prices rose 0.1% for the third consecutive month. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% increase.
Core goods prices, down 0.3%, fell for the third month in the last four led by a 1.0% (+0.3% y/y) decline in new vehicle prices. Appliance prices fell 0.5% (+2.0% y/y) and apparel prices tumbled 0.9% (-1.9% y/y), down hard for the third month in the last four.
Core services prices rose 0.3% as medical care services prices doubled the gain in June with a 0.4% (4.8% y/y) increase. Public transportation prices jumped 1.0% (5.5% y/y) and school tuition costs gained 0.6% (6.6% y/y). Shelter prices rose 0.3% (2.5% y/y).
The chained CPI which adjusts for shifts in the mix of consumer purchases rose 0.4% but less food & energy chain prices were unchanged.
| Consumer Price Index | July | June | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 0.5% | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Total less Food & Energy | 0.1% | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% |
| Goods less Food & Energy | -0.3% | -0.2% | 0.4% | -0.9% | -2.0% | -1.1% |
| Services less Energy | 0.3% | 0.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% |
| Energy | 3.8% | -0.5% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | -5.9% |
| Food | 0.2% | 0.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Chained CPI: Total (NSA) | 0.4% | -0.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Total less Food & Energy | 0.0% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% |
