Recent Updates
- Taiwan: Manufacturing PMI, Non-manufacturing PMI (Feb)
- China: Foreign Reserves (Feb)
- US: Employment Situation (Feb), Intl Trade (Jan)
- US: Establishment Survey Detail (Feb)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Consumer Credit Outstanding Declines in January
Consumers reduced credit balances further in January...
U.S. Trade Deficit Widens to $68.2 Billion in January
The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services widened to $68.2 billion in January...
German Order Growth Gets Back in Gear Despite the Headwinds
German order growth is back in gear with total orders rising by 1.4% m/m in January...
U.S. Factory Orders & Shipments Rise Again in January
Manufacturing activity is strengthening. Factory orders rose 2.6% (2.8% y/y) in January...
U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Rise Just 9,000
Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose modestly by 9,000 to 745,000 in the week ended February 27...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller August 11, 2005
The U.S. federal government budget deficit of $52.8B in July that was somewhat shallower than Consensus estimates. The monthly deficit contrasted with a $69.2B deficit last July and during the first ten months of FY 2005 the deficit remained nearly one quarter lower than the prior fiscal year's first ten months.
Net receipt growth at 13.8% for the first ten months of FY05 continued to reflect the improved economy. Individual income taxes (44% of total receipts) rose 15.1% and corporate income taxes (10% of total receipts) rose 41.7%. The improved job market raised employment taxes (36% of total receipts) by 8.0%.
Federal outlay growth fell to 6.1% during the first ten months of FY05. Defense spending (19% of total outlays) grew 5.6% and Medicare spending (12% of total outlays) slowed to 7.5% growth. Growth in spending on social security (21% of total outlays) was about stable at 5.7% and spending on health programs (10% of the total) also was stable at 4.1%. Spending on education & training (4% of the total) grew 12.0% and interest expense (8% of the total) grew 12.3% with higher interest rates versus declines last year.
The latest from the Congressional Budget Office is available here.
US Government Finance | July | June | FY '05 - YTD | FY2004 | FY2003 | FY2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Budget Balance | $-52.8B | $22.4B | $-302.6B | $-412.1B | $-377.6B | $-157.8B |
Net Revenues | $142.1B | $243.8B | 13.8% | 5.5% | -3.8% | -6.9% |
Net Outlays | $194.9B | $212.4B | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% |