Recent Updates
- Israel: Average Housing Prices (Q2)
- Japan: NCI Economic Activity Index (Aug)
- US: NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (Aug)
- Canada: Wholesale trade, MSIO (June)
- Pakistan: Foreign Currency Deposits and Utilization (JUL)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Plummets in August; Lowest Since May '20
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions plunged to -31.3 in August...
U.S. Import and Export Prices Fall in July; Deepest Since April 2020
Import prices fell 1.4% m/m (8.8% y/y) in July...
U.S. Housing Affordability Declines Further in June
The NAR Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index fell 3.6% in June...
EMU Output Makes Solid Gain in June
The European Monetary Union posted a 0.7% increase for industrial output in June...
U.S. Producer Prices Fall During July; Core Increase Weakens
The Producer Price Index for Final Demand fell 0.5% during July...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller August 11, 2005
The U.S. federal government budget deficit of $52.8B in July that was somewhat shallower than Consensus estimates. The monthly deficit contrasted with a $69.2B deficit last July and during the first ten months of FY 2005 the deficit remained nearly one quarter lower than the prior fiscal year's first ten months.
Net receipt growth at 13.8% for the first ten months of FY05 continued to reflect the improved economy. Individual income taxes (44% of total receipts) rose 15.1% and corporate income taxes (10% of total receipts) rose 41.7%. The improved job market raised employment taxes (36% of total receipts) by 8.0%.
Federal outlay growth fell to 6.1% during the first ten months of FY05. Defense spending (19% of total outlays) grew 5.6% and Medicare spending (12% of total outlays) slowed to 7.5% growth. Growth in spending on social security (21% of total outlays) was about stable at 5.7% and spending on health programs (10% of the total) also was stable at 4.1%. Spending on education & training (4% of the total) grew 12.0% and interest expense (8% of the total) grew 12.3% with higher interest rates versus declines last year.
The latest from the Congressional Budget Office is available here.
US Government Finance | July | June | FY '05 - YTD | FY2004 | FY2003 | FY2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Budget Balance | $-52.8B | $22.4B | $-302.6B | $-412.1B | $-377.6B | $-157.8B |
Net Revenues | $142.1B | $243.8B | 13.8% | 5.5% | -3.8% | -6.9% |
Net Outlays | $194.9B | $212.4B | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% |