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Economy in Brief
U.S. Unemployment Claims Continue on an Uptrend
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended August 6 rose 14,000 to 262,000...
RICS Survey Points to More U.K. Housing Sector Weakness
The survey of housing market conditions in the U.K. continues to show strength in prices versus weakness...
U.S. CPI Unchanged in July with Drop in Energy Prices
Consumer prices were unchanged in July after an outsized 1.3% m/m jump in June...
U.S. Federal Government Budget Deficit Shrinks in July
The U.S. Treasury Department reported a federal budget deficit of $211.1 billion in July...
U.S. Mortgage Applications Rose Slightly in the Latest Week
Mortgage applications increased 0.2% (-62.9% y/y) from one week earlier...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller August 3, 2005
Total mortgage applications dipped 0.3% last week, the fifth decline in the last seven weeks according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. The decline lowered the average level in July 1.4% below June.
Again, the weekly decline was led by applications to refinance which fell 3.0% following a 11.4% drop the week prior. Applications to refinance are down 24.2% from the peak in early June.
Purchase applications went the other way last week with a 1.9% rise following three consecutive weeks of decline. The average level in July rose 0.9% versus June. During the last ten years there has been a 49% correlation between the y/y change in purchase applications and the change in new plus existing single family home sales.
The effective interest rate on a conventional 30-year mortgage rose to 6.06%, it's highest in three months. The effective rate on a 15-year mortgage also rose to 5.70%.
The Mortgage Bankers Association surveys between 20 to 35 of the top lenders in the U.S. housing industry to derive its refinance, purchase and market indexes. The weekly survey accounts for more than 40% of all applications processed each week by mortgage lenders. Visit the Mortgage Bankers Association site here.
MBA Mortgage Applications (3/16/90=100) | 07/29/05 | 07/22/05 | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 752.1 | 754.3 | 21.2% | 735.1 | 1,067.9 | 799.7 |
Purchase | 494.5 | 485.1 | 9.4% | 454.5 | 395.1 | 354.7 |
Refinancing | 2,250.3 | 2,320.3 | 40.6% | 2,366.8 | 4,981.8 | 3,388.0 |