Recent Updates

  • US: Consumer Sentiment (Aug-prelim), Import/Export Prices (Jul)
  • US: Consumer Sentiment Detail (Aug-prelim)
  • US: Vehicle Miles Driven by State (Jun)
  • Bulgaria: Agricultural PPI (Q2) Central Bank Survey (Jul)
  • Blue Chip: Blue Chip Economic Indicators (Aug)
  • more updates...

Economy in Brief

 Rises in Japanese Employment and Wages: Good Omens for Japanese Consumer Incomes and Spending
by Louise Curley August 1, 2005

While the number of employed persons in Japan declined 0.26% in June from May to 64.18 million on a seasonally unadjusted basis, it was 0.69% above the June, 2004 figure. The number of unemployed persons declined by 8.8% in May to June and was 9.4% below June, 2004. As a result, the unemployment rate is now 4.2% compared with 4.6% in May, 2005 and also in June, 2004.

June also saw a year-to-year rise in Japanese wages. The average monthly cash wage in Japan amounted to 467,814 Yen or $4,156 at the current rate of exchange. The granting of bonuses in June and December distorts the month to month changes in the wage data that are available only on a not seasonally adjusted basis. The year to year changes are the more meaningful comparisons. In June, cash wages were almost 0.7% above the comparable figure of last year.

Cash Earnings are equal to money earned before deductions for income tax, social insurance contribution, union dues and payment for good purchased, etc. In the Haver Data Base for Japan there is a breakdown of cash earnings. Total cash earnings consist of Contractual Cash Earnings and Bonuses. Contractual Cash Earnings, in turn are the sum of Scheduled Cash Earnings and Overtime Earnings, which include, in addition to over-time payments, other special payments, such as marriage allowances, etc.

In the attached chart we show the year-to-year changes in the Scheduled Cash Earnings and Overtime Earnings. Scheduled cash earnings have shown year-to-year increases in April, May and June of this year, the first increases since April, 2003. Overtime earnings, on the other hand have shown year-to-year increases since mid 2002 and in June were 2.4% above the comparable figure for last year.

Rising employment and wages should augur well for Japanese consumer incomes and spending.

Japan Jun 05 May 05 Jun 04 M/M% Y/Y%  2004    2003  2002
Employment and Unemployment
(No. of persons in Mil)
Employed Persons 64.18 64.35 63.74 -0.26 0.69 63.29 63.16 63.30
Unemployed Persons  2..80 3.07 3.09 -8.79 -9.39 3.13 3.50 3.59
Unemployment Rate % 4.2 4.6 4.6 -0.4* -0.4* 4.7 5.3 5.4
Monthly Averages in Yen                
Cash Wages 467,801 276,908 466,932 n.m. 1.27 332,598 341,790 343,219
  Contract Wages 273,712 271,336 272,652 0.97 0.39 272,049 278,748 278,873
     Scheduled Wages 254,875 252,332 254,258 1.01 0.24 253,106 260,153 261,000
     Over-Time 18,837 18,742 18,394 0.51 2.41 18,943 18,595 17,873
   Bonus & Other Wages 194,102 5,833 189,280 n.m. 2.35 60,549 63,042 64,344
large image