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Economy in Brief
U.S. Housing Affordability Declines Further in June
The NAR Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index fell 3.6% in June...
EMU Output Makes Solid Gain in June
The European Monetary Union posted a 0.7% increase for industrial output in June...
U.S. Producer Prices Fall During July; Core Increase Weakens
The Producer Price Index for Final Demand fell 0.5% during July...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Continue on an Uptrend
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended August 6 rose 14,000 to 262,000...
RICS Survey Points to More U.K. Housing Sector Weakness
The survey of housing market conditions in the U.K. continues to show strength in prices versus weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller April 22, 2005
The National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) Composite Housing Market Index fell to 67 in April versus an upwardly revised 70 in March. The index has fallen in three out of last four months.
All of the index components fell from March's level. The index of current sales is off 6.2% from the December high and the index of prospective sales is down 5%.
During the last twenty years, annual changes in the composite index had an 83% correlation with the change in new home sales. There's been an 86% correlation with the change in single family housing starts.
Traffic of prospective home buyers has been roughly steady at a high level for over a year.
The NAHB index is a diffusion index based on a survey of builders. Readings above 50 signal that more builders view conditions as good than poor.
Visit the National Association of Home Builders using this link.
Nat'l Association of Home Builders | April | Mar | April '04 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Composite Housing Market Index | 67 | 70 | 69 | 68 | 64 | 61 |