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Economy in Brief

September Industrial Production in Poland Up Strongly:  Increases in Production in the New European Union Member Countries Outpace That of the Euro-Zone
by Louise Curley October 19, 2004

Poland reported that the non seasonally adjusted index of industrial production in September was 9.25% above the year ago figure. The seasonally adjusted and working day adjusted data are not yet available, but the Haver seasonally adjusted data show an increase of 2.28% from August to September. Most of the other eastern and central European countries that have recently joined the European Union1 and the Euro Zone itself have yet to release September data.

In the table below we show industrial production data for some of these countries and the Euro Zone as of August, 2004. All of the eastern and central European countries have shown good increases in production over the past few years. In the attached chart, we have taken Poland as representative of the central and eastern European countries and plotted its industrial production along with that of the Euro Zone. Industrial production for the Euro Zone as a whole has never been as much as 3% above its 2000 average in the past five years. In August of this year the index was 101.82, down 0.63% from July and only 1.61% above August 2003. The index for Poland, by contrast was 122.3 in August, that for Hungary, 120.0; that for Slovakia, 125.7;and that for the Czech Republic, 133.4.

Industrial Production (SA) or (SAWD) (2000=100) Aug  04 Jul    04 Aug  03 M/M % Y/Y %   2003   2002   2001   
Poland  122.3 123.2 111.7 -0.73 9.49 110.5 102.1 100.7
Hungary 120.0 120.0 115.5 0.00 3.90 113.2 107.0 104.2
Czech Republic 133.4 138.9 122.5 -3.96 8.90 123.4 116.0 106.8
Slovakia 125.7 122.6 117.2 2.53 7.25 120.9 114.8 107.6
Euro Zone 101.82 102.47 100.21 -0.63 1.61 100.29 99.95 100.51
               
Sep  04 Aug  04 Sep 03 M/M % Y/Y %   2003   2002   2001   
Poland NSA 132.3 121.6 119.4 8.20 9.25 110.7 101.8 100.3
Poland SA by Haver 125.6 122.8 115.1 2.28 9.12 110.7 101.8 100.3
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