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Commentary Archive

October 2018
22   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Fall Further
19   U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Weaken, Dragging Down Prices
19   Canadian Retail Sales Weaken As Inflation Slows
18   U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Strengthen
18   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Ease
18   Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Growth Continues; Pricing Pressure Eases
18   U.K. Retail Sales: Doing Well-As-Can-Be-Expected Despite September Drop
17   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Continue to Decline As Interest Rates Rise
17   U.S. Housing Starts Decline
17   European Vehicle Registrations Plunge After Soaring
16   U.S. Home Builder Index Improves, but Remains Below Last Year's High
16   U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Hits Another Record
16   U.S. Industrial Production Increases Moderately
16   U.S. Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices Ease; Natural Gas Prices Increase
16   Macroeconomic Assessments by ZEW Experts Continue to Sink
15   U.S. Government Budget Deficit Deepens to the Largest in Six Years
15   U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Eases
15   U.S. Retail Sales Post Disappointing Increase
15   Empire State Manufacturing Index Increases; Prices Decline
15   Finland's Inflation Stays Low -- Mostly
12   U.S. Home Affordability Improves M/M
12   U.S. Import Prices Rise With Higher Fuel Costs; Export Prices Steady
12   EMU IP Gain Is Unexpectedly Strong
11   U.S. CPI & Core CPI Edge Higher
11   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Show Modest Increase
11   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Decline As Interest Rates Rise
11   French Inflation Eases in September But Not Overall
10   Wholesale Inventories and Sales Strengthen
10   U.S. Producer Prices Rebound; Core Prices Similarly Increase
10   U.S. Energy Product Prices Strengthen
10   French and Italian IP Both Gain in August As Italy Grapples with Deep Seated Issues
09   U.S. Small Business Optimism Backpedals
09   German Exports and Imports Weaken in August
08   OECD Leading Indicators Show Weakness; Developing Area Is Especially Weak
05   U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Intensifies
05   U.S. Trade Deficit Widens for Third Consecutive Month in August
05   U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls Rise Modestly But Jobless Rate Falls; Earnings Growth Is Steady
05   German Orders Rebound But Not Enough to Reinstate a Positive Trend
04   Strong Factory Orders and Shipments Data
04   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Fall Back
04   Global Services Show Wear and Tear
03   U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Jumped Up in September
03   Stronger-Than-Expected ADP Private Payrolls
03   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Unchanged at End of September
03   Clear Cyclical Slowing Continues in EMU and Beyond; What Does It Mean?
02   U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Rebound to 10-Month High
02   EMU PPI Pace Ticks Slightly Lower in August to 4.2% from 4.3%
01   ISM Factory Sector Index Eases, Prices Slower Too
01   U.S. Private Sector Construction Spending Contracts
01   Japan's Tankan Slips for Third Quarter in a Row

September 2018
28   U.S. Personal Spending and Income Post Solid Gains in August
28   Chicago Business Barometer Falls and Prices Paid Index Eases
28   Euro Area HICP Shows Mixed Trends/EU Shows Mixed Up Priorities
27   U.S. Durable Goods Orders Jump in August But It's Almost All Due to Aircraft
27   U.S. Pending Home Sales Fall Again
27   U.S. GDP Growth Unrevised; Profits Revised Slightly Lower
27   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Increase Moderately
27   EU Indexes Continue to Shed Strength As Money and Credit Growth Wane
26   FOMC Increases Fed Funds Rate Target
26   U.S. New Home Sales Increase As Prices Decline
26   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Increase Along With Interest Rates
26   U.K. Distributive Trades Survey Shows Mixed-to-Firm Conditions
25   Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Index Improves
25   U.S. Consumer Confidence Improves Again
25   U.S. FHFA House Price Rise Moderates
25   U.S. Gasoline Prices Remain High; Crude Oil Costs Strengthen
25   French Manufacturing Takes a Sizable Step Back
24   Texas Factory Sector Index Retreats; Expectations Are Mixed
24   German IFO Index Marks Time
21   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Weaken
21   EMU Sinks on New Flash PMI Readings
20   U.S. Financial Accounts See Borrowing Ease with Downswing in Federal Government Needs
20   U.S. Existing Home Sales Hold Steady
20   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Edge Down Further
20   U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Increase
20   Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Improve; Prices Weaken Again
19   U.S. Housing Starts Rebound After Two Months of Decline
19   U.S. Current Account Deficit Declines
19   UK Inflation Perks Up Unexpectedly
18   U.S. Energy Product Prices Drift Sideways
18   U.S. Home Builder Index Holds Steady
18   Canadian Factory Sector Looks Solid
17   Empire State Manufacturing Index Eases; Prices Improve
17   British Chamber of Commerce Cuts Forecasts
14   U.S. Retail Sales Edge Higher
14   U.S. Industrial Production Posted Solid Increase in August
14   U.S. Import and Export Prices Weaken
14   U.S. Government Budget Deficit Widens Sharply
14   U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Picks Up
14   EMU Trade Trends Sour
13   U.S. CPI Increase Holds Steady Unexpectedly; Core Price Gain Moderates
13   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Remain Low
13   German and EMU Inflation Behave
12   U.S. Producer Prices Decline Unexpectedly
12   EMU IP Falls Again in July and Barely Gains Year-on-Year
11   U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Hits A Record Level
11   Wholesale Inventories Jumped in July While Sales Floundered
11   U.S. Gasoline Prices Are Steady; Crude Oil Price Weakens
11   U.S. Small Business Optimism Jumps to Record High
11   ZEW Experts Continue to Harbor Concerns
10   U.S. Consumer Credit Use Accelerates
10   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Remain Soft
10   BOF Survey Makes Gain in August; BOF GDP Outlook Is Unchanged
07   U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Employment and Wage Growth Pick Up; Jobless Rate Steadies
07   German IP Slows Down
06   U.S. Factory Orders Decline While Shipments Stagnate
06   U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Improves
06   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fall to Fewest Since 1969
06   U.S. ADP Private Payroll Increase Moderates
06   Second Quarter U.S. Productivity Unrevised; Unit Labor Costs Decline
06   German Orders Log Surprise Drop on Trade War Fears
05   U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Ease
05   U.S. Trade Deficit Increases
05   U.S. Gasoline Prices Slip; Crude Oil Strengthens
05   EMU Retail Sales Drop in July and Risk Still Lives Here
04   U.S. Construction Spending Unexpectedly Weak in July
04   ISM Factory Sector Index Strengthens; Prices Ease
04   Manufacturing PMIs Go Their Own Way... at Different Speeds Too

August 2018
31   Chicago Purchasing Managers Index and Prices Paid Component Ease
31   Japan's IP Edges Lower
30   U.S. Personal Spending and Income Rise; Price Increase Strongest Y/Y Since 2012
30   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Edge Higher
30   EMU Confidence Slips...Are Policy Risks Rising?
29   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Decline
29   U.S. Pending Home Sales Retreat
29   U.S. GDP Growth Revised Up; Profits Strengthen
29   German Confidence Will Continue to Bump along the Ceiling
28   U.S. Consumer Confidence Strengthens
28   U.S. Energy Prices Are Little Changed
28   EMU Monetary Stimulus Is Just Not Taking
27   Texas Factory Sector Index Slips
27   Chicago Fed National Activity Index Declines
27   German IFO Gauge Rises to 5-Month High
24   U.S. Durable Goods Orders Decline Is Led by Aircraft
24   Japan's Inflation Trends Diverge
23   Kansas City Federal Reserve Factory Index Weakens Further
23   U.S. FHFA House Price Index Traces Slower Growth Path
23   U.S. New Home Sales Fall but Prices Increase
23   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Ease
23   EMU Flash PMIs Stabilize
22   U.S. Existing Home Sales and Prices Ease
22   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Recover
21   Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Index Strengthens
21   U.S. Retail Gasoline Prices Decline
21   U.K. Factory Orders Remain Solid...If Clueless
20   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Move Lower
20   German PPI Fails to Ring Alarm Bells
17   U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Continue to Strengthen
17   EMU Inflation Picture Gets as Dicey as the Outlook for EMU Policy
16   Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions & Prices Soften
16   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Decline
16   U.S. Housing Starts Improvement Is Disappointing
16   On The Heels of a German Rebound, U.K. Retail Sales Show Life; Is This Revival or Denial?
15   U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Slows
15   Empire State Manufacturing Index Continues to Improve
15   U.S. Home Builder Index Drifts Lower
15   U.S. Industrial Production Softer in July on Weaker Utilities Output
15   U.S. Retail Sales Increase Firmly
15   Strong Second Quarter U.S. Productivity; Unit Labor Costs Decline
15   Germany's Retail Sales Rebound- Is It for Real?
14   U.S. Small Business Optimism Nears Record High
14   U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady; Export Prices Weaken
14   EMU Growth: Is it on Shakier Ground?
13   U.S. Retail Gasoline Prices and Crude Oil Costs Ease
13   U.S. Government Budget Deficit Continues to Widen
13   Japan's Retail Sales Rebound in June; But Is That Meaningful?
10   U.S. CPI Increase Picks Up; Core Prices Remain Firm
09   U.S. Wholesale Inventories & Sales Are Little-Changed
09   U.S. Producer Prices Hold Steady
09   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Decline
09   Dutch IP Falls in June
08   U.S. Home Affordability Declines
08   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Continue to Decline
08   BOF Sentiment Index Has Small Setback in July
07   U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Falls Back
07   U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Stabilizes; Hiring Rate Declines
07   U.S. Retail Gasoline Prices Continue Strong
07   German IP Falls and German Exports Run Flat
06   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Continue to Falter
06   German Orders Drop 4% in June, the Largest Drop Since January 2017
03   U.S. Trade Deficit Widens in June
03   U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Weakens
03   U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Employment Growth Moderates, but Jobless Rate Declines and Wages Firm
03   Total PMIs Show Global Slowing
02   U.S. Factory Orders and Shipments Strengthen
02   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Remain Low
02   EMU PPI Is Off to the Races...Chased Exclusively by Oil
01   U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Decline
01   FOMC Leaves Fed Funds Target Unchanged
01   ISM Factory Sector Index and Prices Slip
01   U.S. Construction Spending Unexpectedly Falls in June
01   U.S. ADP Private Payroll Increase Is Stronger-Than-Expected
01   Uniform Weakness in Manufacturing PMIs As Trade-War Jitters Impact

July 2018
31   Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Increases; Pricing Power Strengthens
31   U.S. Consumer Confidence Improves Slightly
31   U.S. Employment Costs Moderate in Q2 after Strong Q1
31   U.S. Personal Spending and Income Increase Firmly
31   U.S. Retail Gasoline Prices Stable but Elevated in July
31   EMU Early Growth Results Show Slowdown
30   Texas Factory Sector Index Eases
30   U.S. Pending Home Sales Rebound
30   EMU Indexes Largely Hold Ground Amid Slow Sag
27   U.S. GDP Growth Accelerates
27   Germany's Inflation Shows Mostly Foreign Inflation Sources
26   Kansas City Federal Reserve Factory Index Deteriorates
26   U.S. Durable Goods Orders Rebound, Powered by Aircraft
26   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Rise Slightly from Multi-Decade Low
26   Confidence Mostly Is Slipping in Select European States
25   U.S. New Home Sales Decline While Prices Plummet
25   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Ease
25   German IFO Continues to Bend Lower As Activity Slows
24   Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Moderates; Pricing Power Diminishes
24   U.S. FHFA House Price Index Gains Moderate
24   U.S. Energy Prices Weaken Further
24   EMU and Other Flash PMIs Are Mostly Weaker; The Great PMI Unwind
23   U.S. Existing Home Sales Slip As Prices Strengthen
23   Monthly Greek Current Account Swings to Surplus
20   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Post Further Weakness
20   German PPI Rises at Nine-Month High Pace
19   U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Improve
19   Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Recover; Prices Surge
19   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Hit Lowest Since 1969
19   Japan's Trade Deficit Swings Back to Surplus (Small Surplus)
18   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Reverse Earlier Increase
18   U.S. Housing Starts Weaken Unexpectedly
18   German Trade Surplus Widens; Exports and Imports Show Some Life in April/May
17   U.S. Home Builder Index Holds Steady
17   U.S. Industrial Production Remains Volatile
17   U.S. Gasoline Price Steady; Crude Oil Falls Sharply
17   European Car Registrations Show Modest Rebound
16   U.S. Business Inventories Rise Moderately; Sales Strengthen
16   U.S. Retail Sales Gain Moderates
16   Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines to a Still Elevated Level
16   EMU Export and Import Growth Both Slow As Surplus Shrinks
13   U.S. Import Prices Decline; Export Prices Rise
13   French Retail Sales Rebound In June But Do Not Convince
12   U.S. Government Budget Deficit Widens This Year
12   U.S. CPI Increase Moderates; Core Price Gain Steadies
12   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fall
12   EMU IP Makes Strong May Gain
11   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Increase
11   U.S. Wholesale Inventories Rise; Sales Jump
11   U.S. Producer Prices Post Firm Increase
11   Portugal Shows Inflation Pressure
10   U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Slips; Hires Rate Increases
10   U.S. Small Business Optimism Slips
10   U.S. Energy Prices Are Mixed
10   ZEW Assessments Are Trimmed in July
09   U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Strengthens
09   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Continue to Fall
09   OECD LEIs Are Positive But Have Stopped Rising
06   U.S. Trade Deficit Narrows in May
06   U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls Rise Firmly; Jobless Rate Increases; Wages Gain Moderately
06   German IP Shakes Off Decline with Solid May
05   U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Strengthens
05   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Climb to Highest since April
05   U.S. ADP Private Payroll Growth Eases
05   German Orders Rebound But Are Still Falling in Q2
03   U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Improve
03   U.S. Factory Orders Rebound; Shipments Hold Steady
03   U.S. Gasoline Prices Remain Elevated; Crude Oil Prices Strengthen
03   EMU PPI Very Mixed Trends
02   ISM Factory Sector Index Improves; Pricing Power Eases
02   U.S. Construction Spending Weaker Than Expected; Q2 Remains Strong
02   EMU Unemployment Rate Holds at 8.4%

June 2018
29   Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Improves to Five-Month High; Prices Strengthen
29   U.S. Personal Spending Increase Moderates; Income Growth Picks Up
29   EMU: Mixed Signals from the HICP; What Will the ECB Do Now?
28   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Have Moderate Increase
28   U.S. GDP Growth Lowered; Corporate Profits Strengthened
28   EU Indexes Slip Gradually Lower
27   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Decline
27   U.S. Pending Home Sales Continue to Fall
27   U.S. Durable Goods Orders Decline
27   EMU Nominal Money and Credit Flows Pickup
26   U.S. Consumer Confidence Wanes As Expectations Diminish
26   Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Indexes Rise Further; Prices Strengthen
26   U.S. Gasoline Prices Slip; Crude Oil Costs Stabilize
26   Japan’s PPI Jumps
25   Texas Factory Sector Index Improves Sharply; Pricing Power Strengthens
25   U.S. New Home Sales Increase While Prices Decline
25   German IFO Slips in June
22   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Ease
22   EMU and Japan; EMU Flash PMIs Make Small Recovery
21   French Manufacturing Gives Steady Signal As Services Edge Ahead
21   Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Plunge
21   U.S. Leading Economic Indicators' Rate of Increase Eases
21   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Down Slightly
21   U.S. FHFA House Price Index Improves Minimally
20   U.S. Existing Home Sales Decline While Prices Rise
20   U.S. Current Account Deficit Widens
20   German PPI Sees Pressure, But Core Rate Is Much Less Affected
19   U.S. Energy Prices Are Mixed
19   U.S. Housing Starts Recover to 11-Year High
18   U.S. Home Builder Index Backpedals
18   Japan's Loses Its Trade Surplus
15   U.S. Industrial Production Slips Unexpectedly
15   Empire State Manufacturing Index Continues to Strengthen
15   EMU Trade Deficit Shrinks
14   U.S. Retail Sales Strengthen
14   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Sustain Low Range
14   U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Continues; Sales Strengthen
14   Petroleum Drives Gains in U.S. Import and Export Prices
14   EMU Inflation Falls in Line; ECB Ends Special Stimulus HICP Gains 1.9% Year-on-Year
13   FOMC Raises Fed Funds Target Range
13   U.S. Producer Prices Increase With Strengthening Energy Prices
13   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Ease; Interest Rates Remain High
13   EMU Production Is Looking Very Weak
12   U.S. CPI Increases Steadily M/M; Core Prices Pick Up
12   U.S. Small Businesses Optimism Strengthens Dramatically
12   U.S. Government Budget Deficit Continues to Increase Y/Y
12   U.S. Petroleum Prices Ease Slightly
12   Zew Assessments Take a Hit in June
11   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Strengthen
11   A Souring of UK IP and The Outlook
08   U.S. Home Affordability Continues to Fall
08   U.S. Wholesale Inventories Inch Higher; Sales Strengthen
08   German IP Follows Orders Lower...Much of Europe Joins Trend
07   U.S. Financial Accounts Show More Borrowing Due to Federal Government
07   U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Slows Broadly
07   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Applications Slip
07   German Real Orders Drop for Fourth Month in a Row Forget Denmark - What’S Rotten in Germany?
06   U.S. Trade Deficit Declines Modestly
06   U.S. Productivity Revised Lower in Q1; Unit Labor Costs Revised Higher
06   Volatile Spanish Industrial Output Declines in April
05   U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Holds Steady; Hires Rate Improves
05   U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Improves
05   U.S. Petroleum Prices Remain Firm
05   Composite PMIs Show Wear and Tear
04   NABE 2019 Forecast is Little Changed; Moderate Growth & Higher Inflation
04   U.S. Factory Orders Decline; Shipments Stabilized
04   EMU PPI Slows
01   U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Slip
01   ISM Factory Sector Index Rebounds in May
01   U.S. Construction Spending Stronger than Expected in April
01   U.S. Payroll & Earnings Growth Improve; Jobless Rate Declines
01   Asian Manufacturing PMIs Remain Stunted

May 2018
31   U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline to Three-Month Low
31   Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Rebounds Sharply
31   U.S. Personal Spending Strengthens While Savings Are Reduced
31   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Ease; Rate Sustains Record Low
31   Oil Prices Drive HICP to Target...Will They Stay There?
30   U.S. Energy Prices Increase
30   U.S. GDP Growth Revised Down; Corporate Profits Rebound
30   U.S. ADP Private Payroll Growth Decelerating
30   Day of ‘Wreckoning?’
29   U.S. Consumer Confidence Firms as Job Market Strengthens
29   Texas Factory Sector Index Improves Modestly
29   EMU Money and Credit Growth Remain Weak As 'Success' Stalks EMU
25   U.S. Durable Goods Orders Decline; Core Capital Goods Bookings Strengthen
25   Step Back for German IFO Gauge
24   U.S. Existing Home Sales Decline While Prices Rise
24   U.S. FHFA House Price Index Strength Wanes
24   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Rise
24   French Surveys Show Tilt to Weakness
23   U.S. New Home Sales Ease While Prices Decline
23   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Fall As Interest Rates Rise
23   EMU: PMIs Continue to Drop- Is Recovery Past Its Peak Pace?
22   Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Strengthens to Four-Year High
22   U.S. Energy Prices Continue to Rise
22   U.K. Industrial Survey Backs Down But Still Shows Firm Responses
21   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Are Mixed
21   Japan's Trade Surplus Widens; Largest Surplus in 14 Months
18   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Decline
18   EMU Trade Flows Remain in Broad Slowdown As Surplus Expands
17   U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Post Another Firm Increase
17   Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Surge; Prices Paid Retreat
17   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Remain Low
17   European Car Registrations Drop Sharply in April
16   U.S. Industrial Production Steadily Increases
16   U.S. Housing Starts and Building Permits Decline
16   EMU Inflation Bumps Up But Remains Well Below Target As Other Problems Boil Over
15   Empire State Manufacturing Index Improves
15   U.S. Inventories Are Flat in March But Positive Momentum Still Seems in Train
15   U.S. Home Builder Index Recovers
15   U.S. Retail Sales Rise Moderately
15   U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Continue to Strengthen
15   EMU Growth Slows in Q1
14   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Remain Strong
14   Bank of France Business Survey Sags in April
11   U.S. Import Prices Rebound; Export Prices Strengthen
11   Is Inflation the Mouse that Roared?
10   U.S. Government Budget Surplus Increases Y/Y
10   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Remain at 50-Year Low
10   U.S. CPI Rebounds; Core Price Increase Moderates
10   Japan’s Economy Watchers Index Improves But Still Shows Sector Shrinkage
09   U.S. Wholesale Inventories & Sales Growth Slows
09   U.S. Producer Prices Rise Minimally
09   EMU Members Show IP Rebound Amid Weakening Trends
08   U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Improves; Hires Stabilize
08   U.S. Small Businesses Optimism Is Little Changed; Prices Ease
08   U.S. Gasoline Prices Unchanged, While Crude Oil Prices Continue Upward
08   Germany Logs Its Fifth Largest Trade Surplus Ever As Exports Recover
07   U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Slackens
07   German Orders Contract Again on Foreign Order Weakness
04   U.S. Payroll Growth Remains Subdued; Wage Growth & Jobless Rate Ease
04   The OECD and EMU Growth and Inflation Scene
03   U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Declines
03   U.S. Productivity Has Modest Increase; Unit Labor Costs Strengthen Moderately
03   U.S. Factory Orders Jump; Shipments Notch Another Record High
03   U.S. Trade Deficit Narrows Sharply
03   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Edge Higher
03   EMU Inflation Remains Astonishingly Muted
02   FOMC Leaves Fed Funds Target Unchanged
02   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Decline as Interest Rates Rise
02   U.S. ADP Private Payroll Growth Slips
02   EMU Growth Slows; Globally Growth Slows
01   U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Falter
01   ISM Factory Sector Index Falls Further; Prices Strengthen
01   U.S. Construction Spending Slumped in March, Big Upward Revisions to January and February
01   U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Continue Upward
01   China’s Manufacturing PMI Hovers, Showing Positive Growth

April 2018
30   Chicago PMI Stays on Lower Plane
30   Texas Factory Sector Index Slips
30   U.S. Pending Home Sales Edge Up in March
30   U.S. Personal Spending Improves; Income Growth Is Stable
30   EMU Money and Credit Vs. Money Growth Elsewhere
27   U.S. Employment Costs Strengthen in Q1
27   U.S. GDP Growth Moderates; Domestic Demand Weakens
27   EU Indexes for EMU Members
26   Kansas City Federal Reserve Factory Index Hits Record High
26   U.S. Durable Goods Orders Strengthen; Aircraft Orders Surge
26   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Decline Sharply
26   German Confidence Flattens and Falters
25   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Are Little Changed; Rates Remain High
25   Japan Shows Very Moderate Growth As Trade War Clouds Gather
24   U.S. New Home Sales and Prices Strengthen
24   U.S. Consumer Confidence Unexpectedly Rose in April
24   U.S. FHFA House Price Index Continues to Strengthen
24   U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
24   Italian Confidence Backtracks But Remains High-Valued As It Is for France and Germany
23   U.S. Existing Home Sales & Prices Rise Again
23   PMIs Stabilize or Creep Higher After Drop-Off
20   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Strengthen Selectively
20   German PPI Accelerates
19   U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Signal Continued Expansion
19   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Are Little Changed
19   Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Improve; Prices Jump
19   U.K. Retail Sales Fall
18   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Rebound; Interest Rates Steady
18   Japan’s Trade Surplus Returns Even As Trade Flows Slow
17   U.S. Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices Strengthen
17   U.S. Industrial Production Strengthens; Factory Output Ticks Higher
17   U.S. Housing Starts and Building Permits Recover
17   ZEW Expectations Take a Dive: From Fear to Eternity
16   Empire State Manufacturing Index Weakens
16   U.S. Business Inventories Continue to Accumulate; Sales Rebound
16   U.S. Home Builder Index Eases Again
16   U.S. Retail Sales Strengthen
16   French Sales Step Up; But for How Long
13   U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings, Hires and Layoffs Ease
13   EMU Trade Balance Surplus Expands Again
12   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Decline
12   U.S. Import Prices Are Unchanged; Export Prices Rise
12   Euro Area IP Crashes and Burns for the Third Straight Month
11   U.S. Government Budget Deficit Increases
11   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Fall; Financing Rates Steady
11   U.S. CPI Slips; Core Prices Remain Firm
11   Bank of France Business Survey Sees Weaker Future
10   U.S. Gasoline Prices Ease; Crude Oil Declines
10   U.S. Producer Price Gains Accelerate
10   U.S. Wholesale Inventories Rise and Sales Rebound in February
10   U.S. Small Businesses Optimism Declines; Wages and Selling Prices Continue to Rise
10   French and Italian Output Sag...for How Much Longer?
09   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Ease
09   German Trade Flows Contract As the German Surplus Shrinks
06   U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Continues to Weaken
06   U.S. Payroll Increase Weakens; Wage Gain Accelerates
06   German IP Drops Sharply- What Does It Mean
05   U.S. Trade Deficit Increases to Highest Since 2008
05   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Rebound, but Still Near 45-Year Low
05   Global Composite PMIs Sag
04   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Fall; Interest Rates Remain Elevated
04   U.S. Factory Orders Rebound; Shipments Hit a Record High
04   U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Expansion Slows
04   U.S. ADP Private Payroll Growth Steadies
04   EMU Unemployment Rate Lowest Since 2008
03   U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Rebound
03   U.S. Energy Prices Move Higher
03   Global Manufacturing PMIs Perform; But What the Heck About Demand?
02   U.S. Construction Spending Is Little Changed for Second Month
02   ISM Factory Sector Index Backs Away from 2004 High
02   Asia Shows a Lot of Weakness; And Japan's Tankan Is Tankin’ As a Theme of Trade War Plays Out

March 2018
29   Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Declines Sharply
29   U.S. Personal Income Growth Outpaces Spending
29   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Fall to New Low Since 1973
29   Japan's Retail Sales Show Some Life Year Over Year
28   U.S. Pending Home Sales Improve
28   U.S. GDP Growth Revised Upward; Corporate Profits Decline
28   German Consumer Confidence Holds the High Ground
27   U.S. Consumer Confidence Weakens
27   U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Strengthen
27   EU Commission Indexes for EMU Fall Again; What Is the Message Here?
26   Texas Factory Sector Index Weakens
26   NABE 2019 Forecast; Moderate GDP Growth & Higher Price Inflation
26   Eurozone Economic Outlook from IFO, Istat and KOF
23   U.S. New Home Sales Decline While Prices Increase
23   U.S. Durable Goods Orders Rebound; Capital Goods Orders Strengthen
23   Japan’s CPI Pace Moves Higher As New Risks Emerge
22   Kansas City Federal Reserve Factory Index Holds Steady
22   U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Continue to Rise
22   U.S. FHFA House Price Index Strengthens in January
22   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Increase Slightly
22   Composite PMIs Slip; How Far Will They Slide?
21   FOMC Lifts Rates as Real Growth & Inflation Firm
21   U.S. Existing Home Sales & Prices Strengthen
21   U.S. Current Account Deficit Increases
21   Spain’s Trade Trends and Performance Deteriorate
20   Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Growth Eases
20   U.S. Gasoline Prices Increase
20   ZEW Expectations for Germany and Elsewhere Drop Sharply
19   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Price Gains Have Slowed
19   EMU Trade Surplus Shrinks A Bit As Trade Attacks Lurk
16   U.S. Housing Starts and Building Permits Weaken
16   U.S. Industrial Production Strengthens
16   EMU Inflation Continues to Stay Under Wraps While the ECB Waits for the World to Change
16   U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings, Hires and Layoffs Rise
15   European Car Registrations Fall - What Does It Mean?
15   U.S. Import and Export Prices Increase
15   Empire State Manufacturing Index Rebounds
15   U.S. Home Builder Index Slips
15   Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Declines; Prices Ease
15   U.S. Unemployment Insurance Claims Slip
14   U.S. Business Inventories Steadily Accumulate; Sales Ease
14   U.S. Retail Sales Decline for Third Consecutive Month
14   U.S. Producer Prices Continue Upward Trend
14   Cross Currents Swirl through European IP Trends
13   U.S. Gasoline Prices Steady; Crude Oil Costs Ease
13   U.S. Small Businesses Optimism Improves While Prices Increase
13   U.S. CPI Total & Core Increases Ease
13   Japan's Surveys Show Backtracking
12   U.S. Government Budget Deficit Deepens
12   Japan's Cabinet Office Survey
09   U.S. Wholesale Inventories Rise as Sales Decline
09   U.S. Payroll Increase Strengthens; Wage Growth Eases
09   German Output Slows; European Trends Are Mixed
08   U.S. Financial Accounts Show Moderation in Borrowing
08   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications and Interest Rates Rise
08   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Rise from 48-Year Low
08   German Orders Drop Sharply in January and Crimp Momentum
07   U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Slackens
07   U.S. Trade Deficit Increases Due to Decline in Exports
07   U.S. Productivity Steadies; Unit Labor Costs Rise
07   U.S. ADP Private Payroll Growth Remains Solid
07   French Trade Trends Deteriorate Along with So Much More
06   U.S. Factory Orders Reverse Course
06   U.S. Energy Prices Remain Firm
06   OECD Area Inflation Stays Down - Will Tariffs Push It Up?
05   U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Eases
05   Global Composite PMIs Hit the Pause Button As Tariffs Loom
02   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Price Index Touches New High
02   Euro Area PPI Year-on-Year Pace Drops to 1.5% from 2.2%
01   U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Ease Further
01   ISM Factory Sector Index Strengthens to 2004 High
01   U.S. Construction Spending Unchanged; Components Mixed
01   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Reach 48-Year Low
01   U.S. Personal Spending Growth Eases as Savings Are Rebuilt
01   EMU Unemployment Rates

February 2018
28   Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Weakens Again
28   U.S. GDP Growth Is Slightly Lessened
28   U.S. Pending Home Sales Cool
28   Japan's IP Tanks, Housing Starts Plunge and Retail Sales Drop...What's Next?
27   U.S. Consumer Confidence Strengthens to 2000 High
27   U.S. FHFA House Price Index Increases
27   U.S. Durable Goods Orders Post Weak Start to Q1
27   U.S. Gasoline Prices Ease; Crude Oil Costs Rise
27   Global Monetary Center Action: Money Supply Growth Is Slowing
26   Texas Factory Sector Index Strengthens
26   U.S. New Home Sales & Prices Decline
26   U.K. CBI Service Sector Survey Stays Mixed But Is Reversed for Q1
23   Kansas City Federal Reserve Factory Index Advances
23   Inflation Trends in EMU...NOT Cooperating
22   U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Surge
22   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Ease
22   German and French Sector Confidence Slip
21   U.S. Existing Home Sales Falter
21   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Fall Sharply
21   U.S. Energy Product Costs Weaken
21   Europe's Composite PMI Pullback
20   Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Strengthens
20   ZEW Growth Assessments Begin to Stabilize
16   U.S. Import & Export Prices Strengthen Broadly
16   U.S. Housing Starts & Building Permits Increase
16   U.K. Retail Sales Slip Again
15   U.S. Home Builder Index Holds Steady
15   Empire State Manufacturing Index Slides; Individual Components Mixed
15   U.S. Producer Prices Trend Upward
15   Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Improve; Prices Jump
15   U.S. Industrial Production Eases; Factory Output Holds Steady
15   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Increase, But Still Low
15   EMU Trade Balance Logs Larger Surplus
14   U.S. Business Inventories & Sales Rise Moderately
14   U.S. CPI Rises More than Expected in January
14   U.S. Retail Sales Decline; Nonauto Sales Hold Steady
14   As Growth Ramps Up, Can Inflation Be Far Behind? Yes, It Can...
13   U.S. Small Businesses Remain Optimistic and Increase Prices
13   U.S. Energy Product Prices Ease
13   Dutch Retail Sales Lose Traction As Economic Transition Looms
12   U.S. Government Budget Balance Deteriorates
12   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Are Strengthening
12   Irish Confidence Hits 17-Year High
09   U.S. Wholesale Inventories and Sales Strengthen
09   U.K. Manufacturing Breadth and Strength Are Moving Together
08   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Decline
08   French Survey Hits an Air Pocket
07   U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Cools
07   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Meander; Interest Rates Surge
07   German IP Backs Down But Still Logs a Solid Growth Profile
06   U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Rise
06   U.S. Trade Deficit Increases As Import Growth Outstrips Exports
06   U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings and Layoffs Edge Down; Hiring Unchanged
06   German Foreign Orders Soar; Domestic Orders Bore
05   U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Surges
05   Composite PMIs Show Mostly Strength, But That's Not the Whole Story
02   U.S. Factory Orders Jump in December
02   U.S. Payroll Increase Is Moderate While Wage Growth Accelerates Y/Y
02   European PPI Accelerates on a Broad Country Front But Narrowly Across Sectors
01   U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Continue to Decline
01   U.S. Construction Spending Increases
01   ISM Factory Sector Index Slips but Remains Firm
01   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Little Changed
01   U.S. Productivity Eases; Unit Labor Costs Increase
01   Asia Flounders; China Fails to Mount Momentum

January 2018
31   FOMC Leaves Rates Unchanged
31   U.S. Pending Home Sales Increase
31   Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Declines
31   U.S. Employment Costs Slow in Q4 But Continue Longer-term Rise
31   U.S. ADP Private Payroll Growth Remains Firm
31   EMU Unemployment Rates Continue to Fall
30   U.S. Consumer Confidence Firms
30   U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Strengthen
30   EMU Members Show Consistent Strength...But Momentum Fades
29   Texas Factory Index Nears 2005 High
29   U.S. Personal Spending Outpaces Income
29   PPI Accelerates through Euro Area...Sort of
26   U.S. Durable Goods Orders Soared in December Propelled Again by Aircraft
26   U.S. GDP Growth Slips, Held Back by Foreign Trade & Inventories
26   EMU Money, Credit Growth and Trade
25   Kansas City Federal Reserve Factory Index Improves
25   U.S. New Home Sales Drop Back in December
25   U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Strengthen
25   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Rise
25   German Confidence Rises...And So Does the Euro
24   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications & Interest Rates Continue Upward
24   U.S. Existing Home Sales & Prices Rise in 2017
24   U.S. FHFA House Price Gains Continue to Diverge
24   EMU Manufacturing and Services Take Different Paths
23   U.S. State Unemployment Ranges Widely
23   U.S. Gasoline, Crude Oil & Natural Gas Prices Increase
23   Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Conditions Recover
23   ZEW Survey for EMU, U.K., U.S. and Japan: Inflation Fears Linger
22   Irish PPI Shows Mixed Trends
19   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Increase as Interest Rates Rise
19   German PPI Slows Its Year-on-Year Gain in the Face of Oil Price Strength
18   Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Index Weakens
18   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Decline to 1973 Low
18   U.S. Housing Starts Decline Sharply
18   RICS Shows Weakening Trend for U.K. Housing
17   U.S. Home Builder Index Eases
17   U.S. Industrial Production Strengthens with Cold Weather; Factory Output Edges Higher
17   U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Strengthen
17   Europe's Car Registrations Step Back at Yearend
16   Empire State Factory Sector Index Weakens
16   The Politicization of European Inflation Has Begun
12   U.S. Business Inventories Increase as Sales Strengthen
12   U.S. Retail Sales Were Solid in December with Upward Revisions to October and November
12   U.S. CPI Moderates Overall; Core Inflation Picks Up
12   Japan's Economy Watchers Index Gains As Future Index Deflates
11   U.S. Government Budget Deficit Narrows
11   U.S. Producer Pricing Power Recedes M/M, But Strengthens Y/Y
11   U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Rise Unexpectedly
11   EMU IP Gains on a Strong Capital Goods Sector
10   U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Surge
10   U.S. Wholesale Inventories and Sales Rise
10   U.S. Import and Export Prices Are Little Changed
10   British Chamber of Commerce Survey for Q4 Is Mixed and Sour
09   U.S. Gasoline Prices Hold Steady; Crude Oil Prices Strengthen
09   U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings and Hiring Rates Erode
09   U.S. Small Business Optimism Strengthens in 2017
09   Euro Area Unemployment: Lowest Since 2009
08   U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Surges
08   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Continue to Improve
08   EMU Retailing Bounces Back
05   U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Cools
05   U.S. Factory Orders Rebound; Shipments & Inventories Firm in November
05   U.S. November Trade Deficit Widens Even Though Exports Rebound
05   U.S. Payroll Increase Disappoints; Earnings Gain Picks Up & Jobless Rate Holds Steady
05   EMU Inflation Keeps a Low Profile
04   U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Rise
04   U.S. ADP Private Payroll Growth Strengthens Unexpectedly
04   PMI Round Up for EMU and Elsewhere Finds Solid to Strong Readings Predominate
03   U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Ease from Record High
03   U.S. Construction Spending Continues to Rise
03   ISM Factory Sector Index Strengthens
03   U.S. Energy Prices Strengthen
03   U.K. Industry Continues to Post Solid Results
02   FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Improve in 2017
02   China and Asia Lag on Manufacturing Front