Commentary Archive
(2007, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003, 2002)

August 2008
28

U.S. 2Q'08 GDP Growth Revised Sharply Higher

28

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Dipped

27

Italy: Consumer Confidence Rebounds but Remains Very Weak

27

U.S. Durable Goods Orders Surged Again

26

Latest Ifo Confidence Indicator Continues To Fall. Expectations At Recession Levels

26

Consumer Confidence Up in August

26

U.S. New-Home Sales Off By Two-Thirds from Peak

26

Case-Shiller Home Price Index Down 15.9%

26

OFHEO House Price Index Down 4.8% Y/Y

26

U.S. Chain Store Sales Ticked Up

26

U.S. Gasoline Prices Fell Further

25 Spain’s PPI Surges
25 GDP in the United Kingdom Flat in the Second Quarter
25 Chicago Fed Index Slightly Weaker in July
25 U.S. Existing Home Sales Highest Since February
22 Euro Area Export Trends are Lagging
22 Euro Orders Continue to Plunge
21 U.S. Leading Indicators Dragged Down by Building Permits, Jobless Claims
21 Philadelphia Fed Index: Less Weakness
21 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Ease for a Second Week
21 Despite a Bump Up in July UK Retail Sales Trends Remain Poor
21

Euro-PMIs Flatten Out 

20 Japan Sector Indices are Weakening…
20 French Orders Show Some Life But Still Negative Trend
20

Reduced Oil Demand Is Pushing Down on Prices

20

Mortgage Applications Edge Lower; Credit Spreads Evince High Risk

19

German PPI is Still Soaring: 27 Year High Pace

19 U.S. PPI Up 1.2%; Big Increases Widespread
19

Declines in Euro and Oil Price Improve ZEW Indicator of Expectations

19

U.S. Housing Starts Sag Back to Low

18 UK's "Rightmove" House Price Index in Second Year-to-Year Decline
18 Home Builders’ Survey Shows Tentative Signs of Stabilization
15 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Rose Slightly Early in August
15 U.S. Industrial Production Rose
15 U.S. Empire State Index Slightly Positive
14

EMU GDP in Clear Downtrend and Declining Across the Board

14

U.S. CPI Up 0.8% in July, Y/Y by 5.6%. Boost from Gasoline Prices Now Easing

14

U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Dipped

13

EMU IP is FLAT

13

U.S. Business Inventory Gain the Strongest Since January Distorted by Oil Prices

13

U.S. Total Import Prices Jumped Again

13

Euro Headline Inflation is Unruly; Core Setting Down

13

U.S. Retail Sales Dipped As Expected, Internet & Catalogue Sales Jumped

13 Japan’s GDP Slows and Contracts
12

Japanese Consumer Confidence In July Lowest Ever Recorded: Retail Sales Stagnant  

12

U.S. Gasoline Prices Down Again and Still The Lowest Since Late-May

12

U.S. Chain Store Sales Lost Steam

12

JOLTS: Job Openings Stable in June, Hires Up

12

U.S. Small Business Optimism Fell Further

12

U.S. Trade Deficit Again Unexpectedly Narrowed As Exports Surged

11 Evidence of Slow Down in Emerging Markets Coming to the Fore 
11

French IP is Losing Momentum Across Sectors

8

OECD Indicators Do Not Point to Good News

8

Japan’s Economy Watcher’s Index Plunges

8

U.S. 2Q Productivity Growth Weakened, Costs Still Under Control

7

U.S. Consumer Credit Growth Stable in June, Still Stable With 2007

7

U.S. Pending Home Sales Unexpectedly Rose

7

Germany’s Weakness in IP Does Not Stand Alone

7

German IP Falls Sharply in Quarter Despite Rise in June 

7

U.S. Unemployment Insurance Claims Rose Further

6 Japan LEI Falls
6 German MFG Orders Have Turned Horrifically Weak
6

U.S. Mortgage Applications Down By One-third

5

FOMC Left Funds Rate at 2.00% - The Balance of Factors

5 Retail Trade in the Euro Area and the European Union
5

EMU PPI Surges Again 

5 U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Ticked Up
5 U.S. Gasoline Prices Lowest Since Late-May
5 U.S. Chain Store Sales Held the High Ground
4

Some Recent Data From New Zealand

4

Challenger Layoffs Near Recent High

4

U.S. Factory Inventories Up With Oil Prices

4

U.S. Income Gain Modest after May Surge

4

U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Lowest Since 1992

1 Manufacturing PMIs: Falling in Concert in Europe
1 U.S. Construction Spending Fell in June, Stable This Year
1 German Retail Sales Wither
1 ISM Index Roughly About Stable M/M But Still Up From Recent Lows
1 U.S. Payrolls Down, Jobless Rate Up
July 2008
31

U.S. Help-Wanted Advertising Ticked Up

31

Chicago Purchasing Managers' Barometer Improved Again, Prices Surged

31

U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Surged Again

31

U.S. Employment Cost Index Increase Eased in 2Q

31

HICP Continues to Shoot the Moon

31

U.S. 2Q'08 GDP Growth Improved Due to Foreign Trade

30

Rapid Fall Off in EU Indices - Especially for Services

30

Japan’s Real Retail Sales Fall Sharply

30

U.S. Gasoline Prices Down Again With Lower Crude Costs

30

ADP Report: July Payrolls Rose With Service Sector Hiring

29 IFO Detail Shows Spreading Weakness
29 Consumer and Business Confidence in The Netherlands, France and Slovakia 
29

U.S. Chain Store Sales Surged To New High

29

Consumer Confidence Ticked Up During July

29

Case-Shiller Home Price Index Down 15.8%

28 Italy’s Retail Sector Hits the Skids
28 UK Real Estate Agents Report Declines In House Prices And More Difficulties In Making A Sale
25

U.S. New-Home Sales Dipped in June, Decline Stabilizing?

25

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Better Than Expected in July

25

Excluding Energy German Export and Import Prices Break Through 2% Mark 

25

France’s Insee Services Indicator Plunges as Weakness Spreads

25

U.S. Durable Goods Orders Rose. Less Transportation Orders Jumped

24

The MFG and Services PMIs Simply are Dropping Rapidly

24

U.S. Existing Home Sales Drift Down

24

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Shoot Back Up

23 Euro Area Orders Drop Sharply in May
22

Japan’s All-Industries Index is Still Very Upbeat

22

Italian Consumer Confidence Takes a Dive

22

OFHEO House Price Fell Slightly in May, Down 4.8% Year to Year

22

U.S. Chain Store Sales Up Modestly

22

U.S. Gasoline Price Fell a Nickel, Crude Down $5.00

21 Producer Price Inflation in Five European Countries
21 U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Dipped
21 Chicago Fed Index Improved Somewhat
18

French and Italian Orders Scream WEAKNESS!!

18

Philadelphia Fed Index Stable & Low, Prices Surged

18

U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index Fell To A Record Low

17

Italy’s Trade Shows Deeper Deficit

17

MAPI Business Outlook Survey At A Six Year Low

17

U.S. Housing Starts Rebound All Multi-Family

17

U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Up Moderately

16

Euro Area HICP Sees Core Decelerate

16

U.S. Industrial Production Up in June

16

U.S. Consumer Price Index Jumped 1.1%, Y/Y Gain The Most Since 1991

15 U.S. Empire State Index Remained Negative
15

U.S. Gasoline Price Held at $4.11 per Gallon

15

U.S. Business Inventories' Trend Growth Slower

15

ZEW Components Weak Expectations Are a Disaster

15

U.S. Retail Sales Rose Just Slightly in June

15

U.S. PPI Surged Again

14 UK Losses Grip on PPI Inflation
14

Euro Area IP Trends Point Lower

11

U.S. June Budget Surplus Up, FYTD Deficit More Than Doubled

11

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Up Slightly

11

U.S. Total Import Prices Surged Again

11

OECD LEIs Getting Ever Weaker…

11

U.S. May Trade Deficit Narrowed Unexpectedly

10

Europe is Taking a Turn for the Worse…

10

U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Dropped With Holiday, Trend Up

9

Euro-Growth is a Tick Weaker in 2008-Q1

9

JOLTS: May Job Openings Up Minimally - Hires Plunged

8

German Industrial Output Now Points Clearly Lower – All Sectors Soften

8 British Chambers Of Commerce Economic Survey Pointing To Recession?
8

U.S. Chain Store Sales Nudged Up

8

U.S. Pending Home Sales Reversed Most of the April Improvement

8

U.S. Gasoline Price Reached $4.10 per Gallon

8

U.S. Small Business Optimism Stable, Near 1975 Low

7

UK IP Trends Turn Lower 

7 Industrial Production Declines More Than Expected in Germany And U.K.: Increases in Norway
7 U.S. Gasoline Prices Up - Driving Down
3

U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Lowest Since January, Pricing Power Surged

3

U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Surged

3

Service Sectors Are Weakening Across Europe

3

U.S. Payrolls Fell for Sixth Month, Jobless Rate Stable at 5.5%

2

PPI Inflation Trends Continue Strong in the Euro Area

2

Challenger Layoffs Fell in June, Trend Up Strongly

2

U.S. Factory Inventories Rose With Shipments

2

Markit Indices Continue to Show MFG Declines in Euro Area

2

ADP Report: June Private Sector Payrolls Down, Earlier Figures Revised Up

1 U.S. Vehicle Sales in June Lowest Since 1993
1

Inflation in the Euro Area, the Unemployment Rate in Germany and the ECB

1 U.S. Construction Spending Down in May, 2008 Leveled
1

U.S. Chain Store Sales Nudged Up

1

ISM Factory Sector Index Improved Slightly, Again

1

U.S. Gasoline Price Reached $4.10 per Gallon

June 2008

30

EMU Inflation Goes Ballistic - Over 4%; Ceiling Still is 2%

30

Consumer Confidence in the U.K. Close to All Time Low

30

Chicago Purchasing Managers' Barometer Slightly Improved

27 EU and Country Sentiment Indices Falling Except for Italy
27

Global and EMU Money Supply Slows…but Gradually

27

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Down Even Further

27

U.S. Income Surged Due to Stimulus Payment

26 French Household Confidence is Diving
26 Italy’s Biz Confidence Drops; Resides in Bottom Third of its Range
26

U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Unchanged

26

U.S. Existing Home Sales Flat for Several Months

26

Italy: Retail Sales Follows Consumer Confidence Lower

26

EMU Orders Post Surprising Strength in April

26

U.S. 1Q'08 GDP Revised Up Minimally, Profits Revised Down

25

FOMC Left Fed Funds Rate Unchanged at 2.00%

25

UK CBI Sales/Order Survey Improves Slightly but Still Shows Decline

25 French Business Confidence is FLAT On the Month Outlook is Buoyant!
25

U.S. New-Home Sales Near The Lowest Since 1991

25 U.S. Durable Goods Orders Unchanged in May; Downtrend Underscores Factory Sector Woes
24

Italy’s Consumer Confidence Backs Off Again

24

UK Mortgage Approvals By Banks Continue To Fall

24

U.S. Gasoline Price Stable at $4.08 per Gallon

24

Consumer Confidence in June Again Fell Surprising Hard

24

IFO Business Sentiment Reading is Still Sinking 

24

Case-Shiller Home Price Index Off 17.8% Since Peak

23

PPI Pressures Begin to Spread in Germany

23 Chicago Fed Index Still Gives A Recession Signal
23

German Business Confidence Weakens

23

U.S. Bankruptcies Surge and the 2005 Procedure

19 All Industry Index Advances and Shows Resilience
19 UK Retail Sales Surge in 22-Yr High Gain
19

Philadelphia Fed Index Slipped, Prices Surged

19

U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Slipped

18 Japan’s LEI - Unrevised but Still Downbeat 
18

UK Prices Pressures Mount for Industry 

18

U.S. Current Account Deficit Slightly Deeper in 1Q'08

17 U.S. Industrial Output Fell Unexpectedly in May
17 U.S. PPI Increase Largest Since November, Gain in Core Prices Eased
17 U.S. Gasoline Price Still Above $4.00
17 Two Surveys Of German Economic Sentiment Show Significant Declines
17

U.S. Housing Starts Lowest Since 1991

16

U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index Down A Bit Further

16 Italian Labor Costs Up Sharply In First Quarter
16

EMU HICP Spurts as ‘Core’ Edges Higher

16

U.S. Empire State Index Negative Again

13

Readings Drop in May: Index to 96.6 in Bottom Quarter of Rank Range 

13

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Still in Freefall

13

U.S. Consumer Price Index Acceleration Driven by Energy

12 EMU Area IP Growth Confirms the Strength Across Countries
12 U.S. Business Inventories Rose, Recent Trend Growth Slower
12 U.S. Total Import Prices Surge Quickest Since 1990
12

U.S. Retail Sales Firmed

12

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Up

11 French Inflation Continues to Escalate Over the Top
11

JOLTS: April Job Openings & Hires Rose, Trend Down Hard

10 EMU Industrial Production Held Firm in April
10 Inflation and Monetary Policy in Denmark, Norway and Sweden
10 U.S. Chain Store Sales Recovered
10 U.S. Gasoline Price Crested $4.00
10

U.S. Small Business Optimism Near 1975 Low

10

U.S. Trade Deficit Deeper in April, Prior Deficits Revised Shallower 

9

More Discouraging News From Japan: Economic Indicators Pointing To Recession And Economy Watchers Continue Gloomy

9

German Trade Surplus Bulges Again in April 

9

OECD CLIs Point to Further Slowing Except Japan

9 German Industrial Output Trends Head Lower 
9

U.S. Pending Home Sales in April Rose Unexpectedly

6

U.S. Jobless Rate of 5.5% Highest Since 2004, Payrolls Fell A Fifth Month

5

German Orders Lose Their Froth Faster Than Day-old Beer

5 U.S. Mortgage Foreclosures Rose Further
5 U.S. Household Net Worth Down Again
5

U.S. - Rise in Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Leveled Out

4

EMU Retail Spending and Plans Continue to Roll Over

4

ADP Report: May Private Sector Payrolls Rose

4

U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Fell in May; Prices Rose

4

U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Down in May; Truck Sales Lowest Since 1996

4

U.S. Productivity Growth Revised Up; Unit Labor Costs Rose Moderately

4

Challenger Layoffs Highest Since 2005

3

Strong First Quarter Growth In The Euro Area, Particularly In Germany

3 U.S. Factory Inventories Slipped in April
3 GDP Growth Revised Up: Path Holds Steady
3

U.S. Gasoline Price Higher ... Demand Lower

3

U.S. Chain Store Sales Slid

2

U.S. Construction Spending Down Again

2 Far East Inflation And Easy Monetary Policies Mean Negative Real Interest Rates In The Area
2 EMU MFG Weakens but Pace of Decline Slows 
2

ISM Factory Sector Index Rose Unexpectedly; Level Still Indicates Contraction

May 2008
30

Japan Industrial Sector in Steep Slowdown…or Worse

30

German Retail Sales by Sector

30

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Still the Lowest Since 1980

30

U.S. Income & Spending Rose Moderately in April; Real Income Flat

29

Japan’s Sales Wither After a Spike

29 EU Index is Still Sinking Fast…Inflation in EMU Still High
29

U.S. Help-Wanted Advertising Remained at a Record Low

29

U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Ticked Up

29

U.S. 1Q'08 GDP Revised Up Slightly, Profits Rose

28

German Export and Import Prices Show Mixed Trends: Pick Your Horizon

28

French Household Confidence Remains in Steep Fall

28

U.S. April Durable Goods Orders Off Less Than Expected, Rose Excl. Transportation

28

U.S. Gasoline Prices Near $4.00 per Gallon, Crude Oil Doubled

28

U.S. Chain Store Sales Weak Again

27 INSEE Biz Indicator is Weakening
27

European Consumer And Business Confidence Indicators Released Today

27

Consumer Confidence in May Fell Unexpectedly Hard

27

U.S. New Home Sales & Prices Recovered in April

27

Case-Shiller Home Price Index Declined Again

23 Belgian Bank Index Drops With Some Mixed Sectors
23

Here’s a Real FLASH: The Euro Area is Weak and Weakening

23

U.S. Existing Home Sales % Decline Eased

22

U.S. Home Prices Fell Further

22

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fell

22

Italy: Confidence, Still Weak, Makes Sharp Jump

21 Germany’s IFO in Surprise Rise
21 U.S. Inflation Pressures -- Demand-Pull, Cost-Push & Money
20 ZEW Indicator: Current Conditions In Germany Up, Expectations Down--Current Conditions In Euro Area Down, Expectations Up
20 U.S. Chain Store Sales Fell a Third Straight Week
20

Chicago Fed Index Continues to Indicate Recession

20

U.S. Gasoline Prices Up to $3.79 per Gallon. "Seasonal" Will Raise The CPI Report

20

U.S. PPI Gain Eased Last Month, Core Prices Firmed

19 Inflation in Germany: Real Wages and Unit Labor Costs
19 BOF Industry Indicator Continues to Drop
19 U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Again Up Slightly
16

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Lowest Since 1980

16

Export Trends Are Faltering in Europe As Imports Sustain

16 U.S. Housing Starts April Rise Due to Multi-Family, Single-Family at 27 Year Low
15

U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Ticked Up

15

U.S. Empire State Index Slipped

15

Philadelphia Fed Index Recovered, Expectations Up Sharply

15

U.S. Industrial Output Fell Hard Last Month

14

U.S. Small Business Optimism Recovered Slightly, Pricing Pressure Strong

14

U.S. Consumer Price Index Under Control in April

14

OECD Indicators Show Faltering Growth Prospects

13 Rising Inflation And Slowing Economy: A Dilemma For UK's Monetary Policy Committee On June 8
13

U.S. Business Inventory Gain Slowed, Retail Inventories Fell

13

U.S. Chain Store Sales Fell Hard Last Week

13

U.S. Total Import Prices Surged, Ex. Oil They Jumped As Well

13

U.S. Retail Sales Fell in April, Nonauto Sales Firmer

12

U.S. April Budget Surplus Down, 2008 FYTD Deficit Nearly Doubled

12

Japan’s Economy Watcher’s Index Turns Lower Again

12

Italy’s Manufacturing Output Slips and EMU Tops Out

12 Inflation in Eastern Europe
9 France: With Consumer and Intermediate Goods Output Weakening… 
Can Capital Goods Be Far Behind?
9

U.S. Trade Deficit Narrowed Unexpectedly in March

8

German Order Trends are Mostly Cycling Lower

8

IP Trends in Germany Begin to Decay

8

U.S. Consumer Credit Growth Up in March, Stable With 2007

8

U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Dip

7

U.S. Pending Home Sales Again Fell in March, As Expected

7

U.S. Productivity Growth Firm, Unit Labor Costs Contained

6

EMU Service Sector Makes Erratic Recovery in April 

6

Trade Balances for Czech Republic, Malaysia and Australia

6

U.S. Gasoline Prices Stable at $3.61 per Gallon, WTI Crude Down

6

U.S. Chain Store Sales Dipped Last Week

5

So How Strong is the Euro? 

5

Appreciation to Come in the Exchange Rates in the Gulf States ???

5

U.S. April ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Improved, Trend Still Lower

2 The NTC MFG Index/Indices Continue to Drop 
2 French PPI Sees Gathering Momentum 
2

German Retail Sales Show Some Life in Q1 

2 U.S. Higher Gasoline Prices Weigh on Light Vehicle Sales
2 U.S. Payrolls Declined For Fourth Straight Month, Unemployment Slipped
1

U.S. Construction Spending Off Sharply

1

Challenger Layoffs Surged

1

U.S. Real DPI Flat in March, Trend Growth Reduced

1

ISM Factory Sector Index Unchanged, Prices Surged

1

Both NTC/CIPS and CBI Index Show Withering UK MFG/Industrial Sector

1

U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Back Up

April 2008
30 EU Indices in Steady State Decline…
30

FOMC Lowers Fed Funds Rate by 25 Basis Points

30

U.S. Employment Cost Index Steady At 0.8% Quarterly Increase

30

ADP Report: April Private Sector Payrolls Again Rose Slightly

30

U.S. 1Q'08 GDP Stable at 0.6%, Two Quarter Growth At Recession Level

29

Household Confidence in Near Free Fall in France

29

CBI Sales and Order Trends Weaken

29

Case-Shiller Home Price Index Posts 10.7% y/y Decline

29

Consumer Confidence Fell in April, As Expected

29

Italian Business Confidence 

29

U.S. Gasoline Prices Rose Another Dime to $3.60 per Gallon

29

U.S. Chain Store Sales Recovered Last Week

28 Italy’s Biz Confidence Continues to Sink
28

French Service Sector Outlook and Climate Gauges Slip

28

Brazil's Current Account Deficit Widens

25

German Export and Import Inflation Trends Blunted in March

25

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Lowest Since 1982

24 IFO Weakness: A New Trend Lower or a ‘Mild’ Offset to a Spurious Jump?
24

U.S. Help-Wanted Advertising Fell to a Record Low

24

U.S. Durable Goods Orders Dipped Unexpectedly

24

U.S. New Home Sales & Prices Drop

24

U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Lowest Since February

23

Italy’s Retail Sales Growth Remains Stunted

23

Euro Area Orders Stabilize: A Leading or Misleading Statistic?

23

Belgian National Bank Index Signals Euro-Trouble Ahead

23

The U.S. Export Boom: Where Do They Go?

22 The European Union:  Fourth Quarter Balance of Payments
22

U.S. Gasoline Prices Top $3.50 per Gallon

22

U.S. Chain Store Sales Slip

22

U.S. Existing Home Sales Fell, Prices Rose

21

Japan MFG and Services Indices Diverge

21

Producer and Consumer Price Inflation in the CIS Area

21

Chicago Fed Index Indicates Recession

18

German PPI Spurts in March

17

U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Up Slightly

17

Japan’s IP is Revised Sharply Higher: Still Growth Trends are Mixed

17

EMU Trade Deficit Shoots Back Into Surplus

17

Philadelphia Fed Index Down Again

17

MAPI Business Outlook Survey Fell Again  

17

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Up

16

Already High, Euro Area Inflation is Revised Up

16

U.S. Industrial Output Up 0.3% Last Month

16

U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index Remained Low But Stable

16

U.S. Housing Starts Weaker Than Expected

16

U.S. CPI Total Rose An Expected 0.3%

15 U.K. RICS Survey at All-time Low for House Prices
15 For The ECB Inflation Fears Outweigh Investors' Worries
15 U.S. Chain Store Sales Rose Again Despite Record Gasoline Prices
15

U.S. Empire State Index Stabilized

15 U.S. PPI Soared
14

U.K. PPI Prices Soar in March

14

Euro Area IP Looses Some Momentum

14

U.S. Business Inventories Up

14

Rice Statistics in Haver Databases

14 U.S. March Retail Sales Remained Weak 
11

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Down Yet Again

11

OECD LEIs Show Continued Slowdown Signal 

11 U.S. Total Import Prices Surged, Ex. Oil Jumped
11 U.S. March Budget Deficit Shallower, 2008 FYTD Deeper
10 French and Italian IP: Both Strong in 2008-Q1
10

U.S. Trade Deficit Surprisingly Deeper in February

10

U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Fell Sharply

9 German Trade Picture Produces a Higher Surplus on Weak Imports
9 UK Output: Suddenly on the Mend
9

JOLTS: Job Openings & Hire Rates Still in Decline

9

U.S. Pending Home Sales Fell As Expected in February

8 U.S. Small Business Optimism Lowest Since 1980
8 Japanese Economy Watchers See Improvement In Current Conditions
8

U.S. Consumer Credit Growth Eased in February

8

U.S. Chain Store Sales Rise Moderate, Gas Prices Rise Strong 

7 German Industrial Production Surprises on the Upside
7 U.S. Payrolls: Areas of Strength & Weakness
4

U.S. Payrolls Down For Third Month, Unemployment Up

4

German Orders Fall in January and February - Is Euro to Blame?

3 UK Service Sector Takes a Hit in March
3 European Consumer Spending Weakens in February
3

U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Improved Again

3

U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Rise Into Recession Zone?

2 EMU PPI Trends Press Higher…
2

U.S. Factory Inventory Rise Continued Firm

2

Challenger Layoffs Down Last Month

2

U.S. Vehicle Sales Lowest Since 2005, Gasoline Price Up

2

ADP Report: March Private Sector Payrolls Rose Slightly

1 European Economic Data Hits Blow Hot and Cold: This Time Cold: German Retail Sales
1

Japan: TANKAN Results Show Growing Concerns Among Business 

1

U.S. Construction Spending Slipped; Nonresidential Activity Slackened

1

U.S. Chain Store Sales Slipped Again

1

ISM Factory Sector Index Ticked Higher But Still Was Below 50

March 2008
31

Inflation and Economic Sentiment in the Euro Area 

31 Commodity Prices Surge
28

Japan’s Inflation Rate Rises but ‘Core’ Still Below ZERO Yr/Yr 

28 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Fell Further
28 U.S. Real DPI Up 0.3%, Real PCE Flat, Prices Easy
27 Japan Retail Sales Show Some Life in January and Give it Back in February
27 French Service Sector Continues to Lose Momentum
27

U.S. Help-Wanted Advertising Back to Record Low in January

27

U.S. Weekly Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Dipped

27

U.S. 4Q GDP Growth Unrevised at 0.6%, Profits Fell

26 French Production Trend is Lower but Optimism is Intact
26 Biz Confidence Sinks Further in Italy
26 Germany’s IFO Index Turns Up…Again
26 EMU Orders Rise in January but Trends Point Lower
26

U.S. Durable Goods Orders Post Surprising Decline

26 U.S. New Home Sales Down Again
25

Iceland Raises Its Official Discount Rate to 15%

25

Consumer Confidence Fell Sharply

25

Case-Shiller Home Price Index Posts 10.7% y/y Decline

25

U.S. Petroleum Prices Tick Lower

25

U.S. Chain Store Sales Backpedal

24 Italy Retail Sales and Consumer Confidence Sag 
24

Large Japanese Business Firms Turn More Pessimistic 

24

Chicago Fed Index So Low Perhaps Indicates Recession

24

U.S. Existing Home Sales Rose Slightly. Momentum Changing?

21 Italy’s Consumer Confidence Erodes
21 French Orders in Holding Pattern With Strong Foreign Orders
21

Nonbank Dealers Borrow $29 Billion from the Fed

20 German Ex-Energy PPI Shows Disconcerting Pressure!
20

UK Retail Sales Show Unexpected Zest

20

U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Fell For Fifth Month

20

Philadelphia Fed Index Improved Slightly

20 U.S. Weekly Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Highest Since 2005
19 Japan Slips and its Assessment is Cut…
19

UK Order Books are “Full”…but for How Long?

19

Italy Orders Rise in Month but Still Faltering Trend

19

U.S. Empire State Index More Negative

19 U.S. Business Inventories Starting to Back Up
18 FOMC Lowers Fed Funds Rate by 75 Basis Points
18

Inflation Targeting in UK and CANADA

18

Italy’s Trade Deficit Widens: Complex Picture Emerges

18 U.S. Chain Store Sales Up Slightly and Gasoline Prices Up Sharply
18

U.S. PPI Total & Total Firm

18 U.S. Housing Starts Buoyed Again By Multi-Family
17

U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index Low & Stable

17

U.S. Current Account Deficit Shrunk in 2007

17

Stock Markets Plunge: Commodity Prices Soar

17

U.S. Industrial Output Down

14 Inflation Flares Further in the Euro Area
14 BoF Indicator Continues to be Weak
14

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Fell Again

14

U.S. CPI Total & Core Unchanged

13

Japan’s Industrial Sector Slows Down, Does the Economy? 

13 Japan Retail Sales: A Jump Then a Slowing
13

U.S. Total Import Prices Eased, Nonoil Strongest Since 1995

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U.S. Budget Deficit Deeper Due to Revenue Shortfall & Spending Surge

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