U.S. Business Inventory Gain the Strongest Since January Distorted by Oil Prices
August 13, 2008
By Tom Moeller
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· Higher wholesale inventories led the gain the total with a 1.1% jump during June and at a 14.1% rate during the last three months, again boosted by the rise in oil prices. Nevertheless, less petroleum wholesale inventories rose at a 12.0% rate during those three months which was more than twice the rate of increase during all of last year. · Retail inventories fell 0.1% after a revised 0.3% May decline. The drops left the three-month growth rate negative at -0.5% reflecting the draw-down of automobile inventories. Inventories of motor vehicle & parts fell at a 6.2% annual rate during the last three months due to further production cutbacks. Outside of autos, retail inventories rose at a 2.2% rate over the last three months and that reversed three months of decumulation. · The industry detail in the retail sector indicated that lower apparel inventories led the recent weakness in the total with a 0.9% rate of decline. Furniture inventories rose at a 3.9% rate during the last three months and general merchandise inventories rose at a 2.3% rate. Both of these gains reverse prior declines. Clothing & accessory store inventories still fell at a 0.9% rate over the last three months after an 8.1% rate of decline back in March. · Factory inventories jumped 1.0% and that left the three-month rate of accumulation steady at 6.4%. · Total business sales jumped another 1.7% led higher by the rise in oil prices which lifted factory sales by 1.6%.
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| Business Inventories |
June |
May |
Y/Y | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
| Total | 0.7% | 0.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% |
| Retail | -0.1% | -0.3% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Retail excl. Auto | 0.1% | -0.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| Wholesale | 1.1% | 0.9% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% |
| Manufacturing | 1.0% | 0.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% |
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