Evidence of Slow Down in Emerging Markets Coming
to the Fore
August 11, 2008
By Louise Curley
· On a seasonally adjusted basis, South Korea's GDP increased 0.83% from the first to the second quarter, the same as in the first quarter from the fourth quarter of 2007. Singapore on the other hand, experienced a 1.5% decline in its second quarter GDP, compared with an increase of 3.72% in the first quarter, as shown in the second chart showing the period to period change in the seasonally adjusted data.
· Singapore published data on
production "clusters" about two weeks ago that suggested the
slowing in the manufacturing sector would affect the second quarter GDP
adversely. The third chart shows the indexes (2007=100) for three of the
clusters: Electronics, Precision Engineering and Transport. The
transport cluster continued to forge ahead in the second quarter but the
Electronics and Precision Engineering clusters declined.
|
| SOUTH KOREA AND SINGAPORE | Q2 08 | Q1 08 | Q2 07 | Q/Q % chg | Y/Y % chg | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
| South Korea Real GDP (Bil 2000 Won) | ||||||||
| Seasonally Unadjusted | 206813 | 193700 | 197403 | -- | 4.77 | 798057 | 760251 | 723127 |
| Seasonally Adjusted | 207532 | 205829 | 198125 | 0.83 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Singapore GDP (Mil Singapore Dollar) | ||||||||
| Seasonally Unadjusted | 58219 | 58503 | 57019 | -- | 2.10 | 229090 | 212626 | 196474 |
| Seasonally Adjusted | 58558 | 59688 | 57535 | -1.52 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
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