U.S. 2Q Productivity Growth Weakened, Costs Still Under Control
August 8, 2008
By Tom Moeller
· Output growth last quarter did nearly double from 1Q to a still-modest 1.7% but the y/y rate of increase fell by roughly one percentage point to 1.8%. That was accompanied by a drop in total hours worked at a 0.5% annual rate (-1.0% y/y) which was one-third the 1Q rate of decline. · Growth in compensation per hour did slow to 3.6% from gains during the prior two quarters that were revised up. However, the y/y gain picked up moderately to 4.3% and that exceeded the accelerated rate of increase for all of last year.
· In the factory sector, productivity fell at a 1.4% rate during 2Q (2.6% y/y) and the decline lowered year-to-year gain to its weakest since 1Q of last year. The deceleration occurred as y/y output growth slowed to roughly zero. As a result, unit labor costs rose at a 6.1% rate (1.9% y/y) and that q/q increase was the fastest since late 2006. · Multinationals Make the Most of IT from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis is available here. · Creative Destruction, Documented from
the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond can be found here. |
|
Nonfarm
Business Sector (SAAR, %) |
2Q '08 |
1Q '08 |
4Q
'07 |
Y/Y |
2007 |
2006 |
2005 |
|
Output
per Hour |
2.2 | 2.6 |
0.8 |
2.8 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
|
Compensation
per Hour |
3.6 | 5.2 |
5.4 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
|
Unit
Labor Costs |
1.3 | 2.5 |
4.5 |
1.5 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
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