Japan’s Economy Watcher’s Index Plunges
August 8, 2008
By Robert Brusca
· Japan’s economy watchers index has dropped sharply. Its components are all on 5-Year lows and have been that way for two months running. The NTC MFG index is on a five year low. The Teikoku industry readings are on five year lows. Japan’s own LEI has been weak but in the OECD treatment the trend restored indices have Japan’s index on a rising trend, but steady month-to-month. The readings in these Japan-based reports are much weaker than the OECD’s. And Japan is looking very weak. |
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Key Japanese surveys |
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Raw readings of each survey |
Percent of 5Yr range* |
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|
Jul-08 |
Jun-08 |
May-08 |
Apr-08 |
Jul-08 |
Jun-08 |
May-08 |
|
|
Diffusion |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Economy Watchers |
29.3 |
29.5 |
32.1 |
35.5 |
7.0% |
0.0% |
1.2% |
|
Employment |
24.1 |
26.4 |
31.9 |
33.6 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
Future |
30.8 |
32.1 |
35.1 |
36.1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
NTC MFG |
47.1 |
46.5 |
47.7 |
48.6 |
5.3% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
Econ Trends (Teikoku'/50 neutral/weighted diffusion) |
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|
MFG |
32.9 |
34.4 |
35.6 |
36.9 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
Retail |
28.3 |
28.7 |
31.5 |
32.1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1.4% |
|
Wholesale |
31.0 |
32.4 |
33.9 |
34.5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
Services |
36.2 |
37.5 |
39.7 |
40.4 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
Construction |
25.5 |
26.9 |
27.1 |
28.0 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
100 is high; Zero is low |
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