U.S. Chain Store Sales Held the High Ground
August 5, 2008
By Tom Moeller
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· During the last ten years there has been a 45% correlation between the y/y change in chain store sales and the change in nonauto retail sales less gasoline. · The ICSC-UBS retail chain-store sales index is constructed using the same-store sales (stores open for one year) reported by 78 stores of seven retailers: Dayton Hudson, Federated, Kmart, May, J.C. Penney, Sears and Wal-Mart. · The leading indicator of chain store sales from ICSC-UBS continued to weaken and fell 1.5% (-5.3% y/y) after a 0.9% decline during the week prior. · The chain store sales figures are available in Haver's SURVEYW database. · Can Young Americans Compete in a Global Economy? from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco is available here.
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| ICSC-UBS (SA, 1977=100) | 08/08/08 | 07/26/08 | Y/Y | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
| Total Weekly Chain Store Sales | 499.2 | 499.2 | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% |
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