U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Lowest Since 1992

August 4, 2008

By Tom Moeller

· U.S. sales of light vehicles in July fell another 8.3% from June, according to the Autodata Corporation. The latest sales level of 12.55M units was the lowest since early-1992 and it pulled sales down 21.5% so far this year. The level of vehicle sales also was lower than Consensus expectations for sales of 13.7M.

· Sales of domestically made light vehicles overall, at 8.94M, fell 8.5% last month from June and they were off 24.7% YTD. The level of domestic sales was at the lowest since January 1987. 

· The relatively fuel inefficient domestically made light trucks continued to feel most the effect of higher gasoline prices and sales fell 9.1% from June. That pulled the decline in sales since December to 32.3% and it left the level of light truck sales at the lowest since late-1992.

· Sales of U.S. made cars also felt the effect of higher gas prices. They about repeated their June decline with a 7.8% m/m drop to 4.35M units. Using data from Ward's Automotive News, that was lowest level of car sales since the late 1950s. 

· Sales of imported light vehicles also showed the effect of higher gasoline prices, and weaker consumer spending generally. They fell by 7.8% to 3.61 million after June's 0.1% uptick. 

· Sales of imported autos fell 9.0%, to 2.54M, after the revised 4.1% increase during June. Despite the monthly decline, sales of the relatively fuel efficient imported cars are up 1.9% year-to-year. 

· Not impervious to the rise in gasoline prices, sales of imported light trucks fell 5.0% (-24.5% y/y) last month while they were off 4.6% since December.

· As a result of the greater decline in sales of U.S. made vehicles, import's share of the U.S. light vehicle market rose again to another record level of 28.8%. (Imported vehicles are those produced outside the U.S. and does not include vehicles with the nameplate of a foreign manufacturer produced within the U.S.) Imports' share of the U.S. car market ticked slightly lower from the June record to 36.9% while import's share of the light truck market rose to 18.9%, near the record of 19.3%.

· U.S. auto exports on the rise from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago can be found here.

 

Light Vehicle Sales (SAAR, Mil. Units)

July June

Y/Y

2007

2006

2005

Total

12.55 13.69

-18.9%

16.17

16.54

16.96

  Autos

6.88 7.50

-5.6

7.58

7.77

7.65

    Domestic 4.35 4.72 -9.5 5.07 5.31 5.40
    Imported 2.54 2.79 1.9 2.51 2.45 2.25

  Light Trucks

5.67 6.18

-30.8

8.60

8.78

9.32

    Domestic 4.59 5.05 -32.1 7.12 7.42 8.12
    Imported 1.07 1.13 -24.5 1.48 1.37 1.20

© 2008  HAVER ANALYTICS. All rights reserved.

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