Consumer and Business Confidence
in The Netherlands, France and Slovakia
July 29, 2008
By Louise Curley
· Consumers are even more pessimistic in France where the percent balance between pessimists and optimists is 48%, up from 46% in June. France's Composite (synthetic) Business Confidence Indicator has fallen below its average level of 100. At 98 it is at the lowest level since April, 2005. · The percent balance between the pessimists and optimists in Slovakia has been increasing but the pessimists exceed the optimists by only 8.8% in contrast to the much bigger differences in France and the Netherlands. The excess of optimists over pessimist in industry has practically disappeared. It is only 0.7%, and is 15.6 percentage points below the excess of optimists in July, 2007.
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| CONSUMER AND BUSINESS CONFIDENCE | Jul 08 | Jun 08 | Jul 07 | M/M chg | Y/Y chg | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
| Netherlands | ||||||||
| Consumer Confidence (% balance) | -31 | -19 | 14 | -12 | -45 | 8 | -1 | -22 |
| Producers Confidence (% balance) | 2.4 | 5.3 | 7.6 | -2.9 | -5.2 | 7.8 | 6.8 | 0.6 |
| France | ||||||||
| Household Confidence (% balance) | -48 | -46 | -15 | -2 | -33 | -21 | -25 | -28 |
| Composite (synthetic Bus Confidence Indicator (Average=100; Std Dev = 10) | 98 | 101 | 109 | -3.0 | -10.1 | 109 | 106 | 100 |
| Slovakia | ||||||||
| Consumer Confidence (% balance) | -8.8 | -6.4 | 2.3 | -2.4 | -11.1 | -1.0 | -9.1 | -14.6 |
| Industry Confidence (% balance) | 0.7 | 2.3 | 16.3 | -1.6 | -15.6 | 12.1 | 7.6 | 4.6 |
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