Commentary Archive

December 2007
21 Service Sector Hits the Skids in France
21 UK Consumer Confidence Continues to Plunge 
21

U.S. Personal Consumption & Prices Firm, Income Light

21

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Down in December

20 Belgium Bank Index Weakens Again
20

US 3Q GDP Still Up 4.9%, Profits Still Down

20

Philadelphia Fed Index Lowest Since 2003

20

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Jumped

20

U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Down

19

Gasoline Still Near $3.00 per Gallon. Longer Term, Less is Used

19 UK CBI Retail Survey Continues to Deflate
Messy-nomics
19

IFO Presages Weak EMU Reading for Germany as Well

19 Italy’s Orders Sag and Drop in New Quarter
18

EMU Trade Surplus Grows as Flows Slow

18

In Spite of Lower than Expected Inflation in Canada and the UK in November, Stagflation Fears Are Rising

18

U.S. Housing Starts Down As Expected in November

18

U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index Unchanged

18

U.S. Chain Store Sales Ticked Up

17

U.S. Current Account Deficit Eased Further in Q3

17 U.S. Empire State December Index Fell Sharply
17 UK Rightmove House Price Index Has Biggest Month to Month Decline since Beginning of Series
17

NTC FLASH Indices for Euro Area Manufacturing and Services - Still Struggling

17

Japan Tertiary Index Bounces 

14 U.S. Industrial Production Rose 0.3% and Recouped Half of the October Decline
14

EMU Inflation Surges as Core Dallies Over Top-Allowed Pace

14 CBI Survey Shows Industrial Slowing and Lingering Inflation 
14

U.S. CPI Total & Core Slightly Above Expectations

13 RICS House Prices Sag Badly
13

U.S. PPI Total Surged, Core Firm

13

U.S. Retail Sales Beat Expectations, Sales of Discretionary Items Firm

13

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Remained High

12 Japan’s Exports Continue to Outpace Imports
12

U.S. Trade Deficit Deepened Slightly in October

12 U.S. Import Prices Boosted in November by Oil
11

Federal Funds Rate Lowered to 4.25%

11

Pessimism Increases in the Financial Community of the Euro Area 

11

Economy Watchers Index Drops Sharply in Japan 

11 Machinery Orders in Japan Grow but Core Orders Still Struggle
11 Small Business Optimism Lowest Since 1993
11

U.S. Chain Store Sales Remained Low

11 Real GDP Slowing in Turkey, Estonia and Russia Inflation Moderating in Turkey, but Rising in Estonia and Russia 
10 U.S. Pending Home Sales Ticked Higher, Again
10 German IP Trends Caught in Cross Currents
10

OECD LEIs Are Sagging 

10

French IP Jumps in October

7

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Down Hard

7

U.S. Payrolls Increase Light, Unemployment Steady

6 German Orders JUMP!
6

U.S. Mortgage Foreclosures: Conventional Up, Subprime Soared

6

US Flow of Funds: Debt Growth Back Up Due To Financial Sector

6

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Highest Since 2005

5 UK Service Sector Index Falls Sharply Again and May Be Signaling That More Losses Lie Ahead
5

U.S. Factory Inventory Gain Moderate

5

Retail Sales Enthusiasm is Cut Short…

5

ADP Report: Private Payroll Growth Improved Further

5

Challenger Layoffs Picked Up Modestly

5

Q3 Productivity Revised Up, Unit Labor Costs Revised Down

5

U.S. ISM Non-manufacturing Index Slipped, Prices Soared

4 Are the Gulf States About to Abandon Their Dollar Pegs?
4

U.S. Vehicle Sales Still Driven By Gasoline Prices

4

Euro Area PPI Sails Well Above 2% Pace

4 UK Sector Downdraft Still Seems to be in Play 
4

EU Unemployment is Stable

4

U.S. Chain Store Sales Collapsed, But Did They?

3

Japanese Corporations Report Lower Profits and Capital Spending

3

ISM Index Still Low at an Expected 50.8

November 2007
30 IFO Index Continues to Slip; Components Show Weakness
30 Trichet on a Hot Tin Roof
30 Euro-Consumer Confidence Hits the Skids
30

EU Sentiment is Fading Fast

30 U.S. Construction Spending Down in October, But Stabilizing?
30 Chicago Purchasing Managers Survey Improved
30 U.S. Personal Income Light, Real DPI Down and Real PCE Easier
29

UK: CBI Retail Sales Hold Steady and Strengthen

29

Japan IP Sharply High in the Month of October

29

French Consumer Confidence in Abrupt About Face

29

Home Price Appreciation Slowest in Three Years

29

US Home Sales Ticked Up in October, Revisions Way Down

29

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Surged

29 US 3Q GDP Up 4.9%: Trade & Inventories Boosted Revision, Profits Fell
28

The German Condition...

28

U.S. Durable Goods Orders Down Big for Second Month

28

Existing Home Sales Down and So Goes Prices

27

U.S. Chain Store Sales Dipped

27 Gasoline Held Above $3.00 per Gallon
27

German Indices Show Some Unexpected Life…but not That Much

27 Business Climate Perks up in France
27 German Flash HICP Soars...
27

Consumer Confidence Crumbled With Lower Home Prices

26

UK GDP Grows 3%

26

Mexico and Chile: Balances of Payments

26

U.S. Loan Delinquencies Up, Real Estate Soared

26

Chicago Fed National Activity Index Negative for Third Month

23

UK Banks Sharply Restrain Mortgage Lending in October

23

Services Slip: E-zone PMIs are Weak

21

U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Fell Again

21

Japanese Trade Surplus Widens in October with Strong Exports to China and Europe

21

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Remained Depressed

20 Italy's Orders Growth Slows as Foreign Orders Hold Erratically Higher
20 French Orders Weaken
20 UK Orders Bounce Higher in Survey Unexpectedly
20 German PPI Drifts Lower but no Clear Deceleration is in Sight
20 U.S. Housing Starts Total Up Unexpectedly; Single Family & Permits Down
19

U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index Stable At Record Low

19

U.S. Empire State Index Off Modestly, Expectations Plummet

19

Singapore's Balance of Payments Continues Strong

19

German Wage and Salary Trends Turn Lower…

16

The EMU Trade Surplus Shrinks

16 Foreign Investors Renew Commitment to US Markets, Albeit Limited, According to New TIC Data
16

U.S. Industrial Production Decline Broad and Unexpected

16

U.S. Business Inventories' Increase  Moderate

15 EMU ‘Core’ Inflation Trends Are Mixed…But Still Poor
15 Japan’s Tertiary Sector Echoes Weakness in MFG and Mining
15

Kazakhstan's Oil and Metals Exports Bring Revenue for Investment Spending

15

Philadelphia Fed Index Recovered Slightly

15

U.S. CPI Rise of 0.3% As-expected, 0.2% Core Also In Line

15

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Jump

14 Fed's Loan Officer Survey Shows Drastic Tightening of Mortgage Lending, Weakening of Banks' Mortgage Demand
14

European Car Registrations Put in Another Good Month

14

U.S. Pending Home Sales Stabilize

14

U.S. Retail Sales About As Expected

14

U.S. PPI Total & Core Weak

13 Inflation Trends Turn Bleak in the Euro Area…
13 German Sales Trends Improving; But Still a Moderate Quarter
13 Economic Sentiment Among the German Financial Community Takes a Tumble in November
13

U.S. Chain Store Sales Eased

13

Small Business Optimism Held Low, Credit Problems Eased

12

Japanese Consumers Becoming More Pessimistic

12 Commodity Prices: Oil Up, Most Other Inflation Forces Topped
12 OECD Shifts to Slowdown Signal
9

Michigan Consumer Sentiment in Full Retreat

9 U.S. Import Price Inflation Heated Up
9 U.S. September Trade Deficit Smallest Since 2005
8

German Trade Surplus Rises Strongly on Weak Imports

8 Japan's Economy Watcher's Index on a Decline
8 Japan Orders Remain Weak
8

U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Drop

7 Turkey Foreign Trade Volumes Moderate in September
7 German Mfg IP Turns its Trend Higher Unexpectedly
7

Q3 Productivity Stronger, Unit Labor Costs Fell

6 EMU Retail Sales Remain Sluggish
6 EMU PPI on an Accelerating Trend…
6

German Manufacturing New Orders and Sales Declined in September

6

JOLTS: Job Openings Unchanged, Hires Rate Depressed

6 Gasoline Above $3.00 per Gallon, Again
6

U.S. Chain Store Sales Recovered

5

Signs of Cooling in the British Economy

5

U.S. ISM Non-manufacturing Index Improved Slightly

2

PMIs in MFG are All Losing Momentum… but Still Showing Growth

2

U.S. Vehicle Sales Down

2

EU Registrations Up in August but Still with Challenged Trend

2 U.S. Payrolls Rose Double Expectations
1

UK Distributive Trade Sector Shows a Slowdown

1 UK MFG Survey Turns Lower
1 Australian Economy Remains Strong, But Strong A$ May Already Be Generating Some Restraint
1

U.S. Personal Spending Up 0.3%, Income Rose 0.4%

1

ISM Index Near "No Growth" Level

1

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Still Higher

October 2007
31 German Retail Sales Show Unexpected Lift
31 UK Consumer Confidence Stays in a Downdraft
31

Sentiment Slips but Flash Inflation Flares

31

EU Readings Still Strong…but FADING

31 U.S. Employment Cost Index Moderates to 0.8% Quarterly Increase
31 US GDP Growth Boosted Again by Improved Trade Deficit
31

ADP Report: Private Payroll Growth Much Improved

30 IFO Details Begin to Show Cracks…
30 German Wholesale Sales Falter Again 
30 September Unemployment Rates in Japan and in Germany Pose Problems for Central Banks
30

Consumer Confidence Tanked as Gasoline Prices Rose & Home Prices Fell

30

U.S. Chain Store Sales Sustain Lower Level, Gasoline Prices Up Again

29 U.K. Housing Market Cooling Off
29 Japan Retail Sales Edge Back in Sept… Is Slowing Trend Still in Place? 
29

France’s Service Sector Holds Its Strength

26 Spain Employment Up 3.1% from Year Ago; Spanish Workers and Immigrants Both Gain
26 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Added To Decline in Early October
26

U.S. Help-Wanted Advertising Remained Low

25 Freight Charges Skyrocket; Baltic Indexes Surge to Records
25 Germany: Ex-Energy Inflation Trends are Turning Lower; International Prices First
25 French Biz Climate Indicator Holds Mostly Steady
25 IFO Survey Shows Weakness is Still in Train…but at Moderate Pace
25

U.S. Home Sales Stable at Lower Level, Revisions Down

25

U.S. Durable Goods Orders Down Big for Second Month

25

U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Remained High

24 NTC Indexes for the Euro area are Very Weak
24

Existing Home Sales Drop 8% in September; All Regions Feel the Pain

24

Italy’s Biz Index in a Small, Unconvincing Rebound

23 EMU Orders Begin to Show Wear and Tear
23

Italy’s Retail Sales Show a Slowdown in Progress

23 Consumer Confidence Holds Steady in October in the Netherlands and Italy
23

U.S. Chain Store Sales Lost Steam as Gasoline Prices Ticked Up

22

German Real Wages Slide Lower Y/Y and Plunge in Current Quarter

22

Are China's Imports Becoming a  Problem?

22

U.S. Loan Delinquencies & Foreclosures Soar

19 UK GDP Maintains 0.8% Growth in Q3; Industry Sectors Rotate Leadership
19

U.S. Empire State Index Improved

18

Philadelphia Fed Index Dipped

18

UK Retail Sales Accelerate

18

EMU Trade Surplus Grows as Imports Steady and Exports Accelerate

18

U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Rose

18

U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Jump

17 TIC Data Show Foreign Investors Made the Same Kinds of Decisions in August that Domestic Investors Did
17 Japan’s MFG and Services Sectors Show Some Strength
17 U.S. Housing Starts Lowest Since 1992
17

U.S. CPI Gain Quickest Since May, Core Rate 0f 0.2% Stable

16

EMU Inflation Trends a Narrow Line

16 UK Core Inflation Trends Turn Sharply Lower
16 Confidence Among German Investors Holds Steady: Slight Improvement in Profit Expectations
16

Weekly U.S. Chain Store Sales Recovered Smartly

16

U.S. Industrial Production Gain Minimal

15

Italy’s Inflation: Overall Under Control With Some Underlying Erosion

15

BOF Survey Moves Lower and Is Barley Higher Yr/Yr

15 Japanese Industrial Production and Domestic Trade up but BoJ Holds Interest Rate Steady
15

U.S. Business Inventories' Increase Down With Slower Sales Growth

15

U.S. Budget Deficit Narrowed Sharply

12 Mr. Gore's Nobel Prize Occasions a Look at Haver's Energy & Environment Data
12 French Inflation Turns Higher But Not Really…
12 Euro Area PPI Behaves in August
12 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Down
12 U.S. Retail Sales Beat Forecasts, But Nonauto Sales Weak
12 U.S. PPI Strong, Core Weak 
11 Tighter Monetary Policy in South Africa, Where Inflation, Growth and Credit Expansion All Look Strong
11 UK RICS Survey Shows Price Drop and Expectations Lower for Sales and Future Prices
11 Still No Life in German Retail Sales
11 U.S. Import Price Deflation Ended by Lower Dollar
11 U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Down
11 U.S. August Trade Deficit Smallest Since January
10 New Bank of England Credit Survey Shows Tightening Availability Amidst Mixed Demand from Borrowers
10 Germany’s DIHK Survey Points to Slowdown
10 IP in Euro Area Still Growing Despite Slowing Signs
10 U.S. Gasoline Prices Move Further Sideways
9 A Dip in Germany's Surplus and a Small Improvement in France's Deficit
9 Japan's Economy Watcher’s Index Drops for Sixth Month in a Row
9 Weekly U.S. Chain Store Sales Roughly Unchanged: Again
9 U.S. Small Business Optimism Reduced by Credit Problems
8 Inflation Trends in Emerging Markets
8 German Orders Still Strong but Definitely Fading…
5 French Household Confidence Takes Sharp Reversal
5 OECD Indicators Show Moderation in Growth Ahead
5 Euro-Area Banks Tighten Lending Policies, According to Latest ECB Survey
5 September U.S. Payrolls and Revisions Up
4 Housing Starts by State: Weak, Yes, But Gains in August Where You Wouldn't Expect
4 U.S. Pending Home Sales Collapse
4 U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Up, Perhaps Rehiring as Well
3 Australia Retail Sales Show Some Vigor Through August
3 European Retail Sales Remained Mixed
3 Service Sector Weakens in Europe
3 ADP Report: Private Payroll Growth Smallest Since 2003
3 U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Dipped
3 U.S. Vehicle Sales Flat; Truck Sales Down, Cars Up
2 Euro Area PPI Behaves in August
2 Profitability of all Nonfin UK Corp Record High in the Second Quarter
2 Weekly U.S. Chain Store Sales Remained Low
1

Broad Slowdown in Euro-area MFG

1 UK MFG Drops Off but Remains in a Growth Profile
1 A Mixed Picture From the Bank of Japan's TANKAN
1

ISM Index Slightly Weaker

September 2007
28

The German IFO Index Shows a Broad Weakening

28 EU Growth and Inflation Conditions
28 Chicago Purchasing Managers Survey Ticked Up
28

Money Markets:  Has the Crisis Passed?

28

U.S. Construction Spending Recovered A Bit

28 U.S. Personal Income Rise of 0.3% Missed Expectations
27 Euro Rises as Money Growth Accelerates…
Dollar Drops and Money Growth Slows
27 Employment Up, Unemployment Down in Germany; But Does the Better Jobs Situation Spur Spending
27 US Homes Sales Still Weakening...but at a Progressively Slower Pace
27 Despite Q2 Spurt Trend the U.S. is Slowing 
26

Business Confidence Weakens in France & Italy

26

Durable Goods Orders Drop by 4.9% in August after 6.1% Spurt in July

25

Confidence Drops Off Sharply

25

German Business Confidence Continues to Erode

25 Existing Home Sales Weakness Accelerates in the West
24

No Surprise:  Manufacturing New Orders for the Total Euro Area Decline

24

Belgium National Bank Index Softens

24

Euro area Orders Show a Loss in Momentum in July

24

U.S. Inflation Fears: The Data Behind Them

21 Japan is Losing Momentum Across Sectors
21 Canada's Retail Trade Falls 0.8% in July, But Could Be Simple Offset to Earlier Strength
21

NTC Measures Plunge in September – Back to Central Banking School?

21 Philadelphia Fed Index Improved
20 Personal Income Growth Slows in Most States in Q2
20

French Orders Continue to Rise Year-Over-Year

20

In the UK, CBI Orders are Fading Over All Major Horizons

20 U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Fell Sharply
20 U.S. Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Fell
19 U.S. CPI Total -0.1%, Core Up 0.1503%
19 Italy’s Orders Show Volatility as Domestic Orders Slow
19 German PPI ex Energy Pressures are Back
19 U.S. Housing Starts Fall Yet Again
18 FOMC: Funds & Discount Rates Cut; Spread of Housing Weakness Feared
18 Weekly U.S. Chain Store Sales Fell Sharply
18 U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index Down, Prospects Gloomy
18 Pessimism Grows in the German Financial Community: Zew Measure Falls to -18.1    
18 U.S. PPI Fell Sharply; Core Prices Tame, Food Down, Oil Cratered
17 Baltic Current Account Deficits in the Stratosphere
17

U.S. Empire State Index Down Sharply This Month

17 Euro Area Exports and Imports Revive as Surplus Erodes
17

U.S. Import Price Inflation Tame

14 U.S. Current Account Deficit Eases in Q2
14

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Up Slightly in September

14

U.S. Industrial Production Up An Expected 0.2%, But ...

14 Italy’s IP Remains Weak, Extends Trend
14 German Core Inflation Breaks Lower - is it for real?
14 EMU Headline Inflation Moves Lower as Core Moves Higher: Fiddle Dee Dee?
14

U.S. Retail Sales in Line With Forecasts in August but Trend Down

13

UK Survey Shows Net Reduction in House Prices; Construction Orders Already Down

13

Will Gasoline Prices Continue To Fall?

13

France HICP Slowing but Unruly and over the ECB Ceiling Pace of 2%

13

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Remained Low

12

India's Industrial Sector Downshifts in July After Spring Acceleration

12 Euro Area Output Rebounds in July
12

Japan’s Export and Import Growth Slow Then Rebound and Steady

12

JOLTS: Job Openings Unchanged, Hires Rate Improved (Slightly)

11

French Exports and Import Rebound…Imports Outpace

11

UK Exports and Imports Accelerate Again – Deficit Slips

11 Japan’s Core Machinery Orders Rebound
11 China Wraps up a near Record Total Trade Surplus and Record Surpluses with the U.S. and Europe
11

Small Business Optimism Down

11

Weekly Chain Store Sales Rose

11 U.S. Trade Deficit Continued to Narrow
10 Italy’s GDP Snakes Below 2% Year-over-year
10 French IP Bucks Trends with Large Gain
10 Japan's Revised Q2 GDP Declines 1.2% (SAAR): Economy Watchers Wary
10

Since When has Employment been a Leading Indicator?

7

OECD LEIs Show Upswing Has Topped Out…in July

7 Industrial Production Growth Slips in Germany
7

Payrolls Fall 4,000 in August; Revisions Take Away 81,000 More

6 UK IP on Extended Fading Growth Trend
6

U.S. Q2 Productivity Revised Up, But So Was Compensation

6

U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Unchanged

6

U.S. Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Fell Sharply

6 German New Orders: The Thrill is Gone
5

How Much Have Home Values Changed? -- Well, It Depends . . . .

5

Services Indexes for Euro area and the UK

5 EU Retail Trends: At Odds
5

ADP Report: Private Payroll Growth Smallest Since 2003

5

U.S. Vehicle Sales Better Bleak Newspaper Headlines

4 Euro area PPI ex Energy is Excessive but Slowly Behaving
4

U.S. Construction Spending Declined Again

4 Slovakia Continues its Fast Pace of Growth: Difference Between Eurostat and Country Sourced Data
4

ISM Index Down Slightly; As Expected

August 2007
31 U.S. Personal Income Gains 0.5% in July; Spending Recovers from June Weakness
31

IFO Detail Slows Some Slippage Amid Strength

31

EU Index Near a High but Losing Momentum

30

US GDP Growth Revised Up, Profit Growth Slowed

30

Consumer Confidence is Retreating in Italy

30

Japan Retail Sales Drop Sharply

29

Confidence Measures in Sweden Hover Near All-Time Highs

29 World Liquidity
28

French Housing Starts Jump

28

German Business Types less Pessimistic about the Outlook than Financial Types

28

Consumer Confidence Fell

28

U.S. Weekly Chain Store Sales Up, Gasoline Prices Down

27 Spain’s PPI: Eases Monthly Pace in July but Still Too Strong
27

China's Trade Balance Dips in July but Is Still Third Highest on Record

27

U.S. Existing Home Sales Slipped Less Than Expected Last Month

24

Yr/Yr UK GDP Growth Holds Steady

24 German Export and Import Prices Misbehave
24

Borrowing at the Fed:  Some Arithmetic

24

U.S. Durable Goods Orders Better Due To Transportation

24

New Home Sales and Prices Up

23 Borrowings at the Federal Reserve Largest in 6 Years; Big Drops in Commercial Paper Outstanding
23

U.S. Loan Delinquencies Up Slightly, But Still Low

23 German GDP Rebound Still Not Supported by the Consumer
23

Belgian National Bank Index Declines in August

23

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fell Slightly

22 Japanese Trade Picture Murky:  Rising World Commodity Prices Push Imports Higher
22 Euro Orders are Quite Firm Within the Zone but Extremely Strong for "Exports"
21 Euro Area Export and Import Growth Both Tic Up in June
21

Market Turmoil Shakes Confidence of German Investors and Analysts

21 U.S. Weekly Chain Store Sales Ticked Up, As Did Gasoline Prices
20

French Industrial Orders Pop in June 

20

Contrasting Balance of Payments for Greece and Taiwan

20 U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Rose
20 Chicago Fed National Activity Index Negative, Again
17 German PPI Steadies at Above 2% Pace
17

Where Does the Oil Come From?

17

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Fell Sharply, Fed's Discount Rate Cut

16 TIC Data Show Sizable Foreign Interest in US Securities Even Through June; Hong Kong, Russia & Brazilian Investors Major Buyers
16 HICP is Losing Momentum
16 UK Real Retail Sales Pop in July
16

Philadelphia Fed Index Unexpectedly Steady

16 U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Rose Again
16 U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index Lowest Since 1991
16 U.S. Housing Starts At Ten Year Low
15 Daily Fed Open Market Operations: The Pattern of Fed Liquidity Provision
15

U.S. Industrial Production Up Expected 0.3%

15

U.S. Empire State Index Slipped This Month

15 U.S. Mortgage Application Surge Questionable
15 German Retail Sales Rebound in June
15 CPI Total 0.1%, Core Rose 0.2%
14

European GDP Growth Slows More Than Expected 

14 French Long-term HICP Trend Moves Lower
14 UK Inflation Turns Sharply Lower
14

U.S. PPI Above Forecasts; Weak Core Prices As Expected

14

U.S. Trade Deficit Narrowed

14 U.S. Small Business Optimism in July Recovered
14

Weekly Chain Store Sales Fell Despite Lower Gas Prices

13 Japan: Will the BOJ Raise Rates in the Face of a Bigger than Expected Drop in Real GDP and Only Little Progress on Deflation?
13

U.S. Inventory Accumulation Continued

13 U.K. PPI Trends are Pretty Flat
13 U.S. Budget Deepened in July
13 U.S. July Retail Sales Improved, June Revised Up
10 Fed Funds Futures Price in Easing, Dealer Trading Volume Favors Treasuries: More on Haver's Short-Term Financial Data
10 Japan IP Rebounds in June but still has Uncertain Momentum
10 Industrial Production Slips and Slows in France
10 OECD Leading Indicators Point the Way Higher
10

U.S. Import Prices Boosted in July By Oil

9 2006 Housing Stock Has Smallest Gain in 11 Years, But Housing Stock per Household Continues To Grow
9 After a SURGE, UK Export and Import Growth Plummeted and Has Begun to Recover
9 U.S. Claims for Jobless Insurance Exceed Expectations
8 CPI Inflation Restrained in Czech Republic, Moderate in Lithuania and Very Fast in Latvia
8 French Imports Out Jump Exports
8 Japan Core Machinery Orders Remain Lethargic
8 German Surplus in Trade Remained in June
8 JOLTS: Job Openings Up, Hires Rate Down
8 Japan Economy Watchers Index in Steady Decline
8 U.S. Mortgage Applications Surge
7 German IP Weakens as Orders Surge
7

Business Confidence in the Euro Area Falls in July but Is Still Healthy

7 Chain Store Sales Rebound, Strong
7

U.S. Productivity Missed 2Q Estimate, Cost Increase Fastest Since 2000

6 June manufacturing New Orders in Germany Rise Sharply While Sales Show a Small Decline
6 Inflation Concerns are Forward Looking. Recent Trends Favorable
6 UK IP Restores Momentum
6 Italy’s IP Growth Sinks
3 Euro Area Services Sector Points to Slow Down but Slower Slow Down
3 Euro Area Retail Sales Stay in Slowdown Mode
3

Gasoline Prices Ease Further; Refining Margins Reduced

3

ISM Nonmanufacturing July Index Below Forecasts

3 July Payrolls a Bit Light, Revisions Minor
2 Swedish GDP Grows 1.0% in Q2, Led by Fixed Investment and Exports of Services
2

PPI Trends Flatten Out and Decline Across EMU

2

U.S. Factory Inventory Growth Recovered

2

U.S. Claims for Unemployment Insurance Rose Slightly

2 U.S. Vehicle Sales Suffer Housing Market Woes
1 Greater Risk Evident in (1) More Stock Options Volatility, (2) Wider Yield Spreads and (3) Sluggish House Prices
1 Mortgage Applications Down Again
1 Challenger Layoffs Retreated
1

ADP Report: Growth in Private Payrolls Eased

1

ISM Index Down Sharply

July 2007
31 Consumer Confidence Rebounded
31 French Household Confidence Reverses its Upswing
31 IFO Detail Fills in the Missing Pieces for Germany’s Trends…Strong but Slowing
31 EU Indexes Remain High-valued, but Main Index also Edges Lower, Pace Slows 
31

U.S. Employment Cost Index Up an Expected 0.9%

31

U.S. Personal Income About On Forecast, Core Prices Again Up 0.1%

30 U.S. Help-Wanted Advertising Reverses Improvement
27 Japan: CPI and Retail Sales Weaken--Discouragingly
27

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Up During July

27

US 2Q07 GDP Above Expectations

26