U.S. Chain Store Sales Fell Hard Last Week
May 13, 2008
By Tom Moeller
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· During all of April, sales rose 1.0% from March and they began May down 0.1%. · During the last ten years there has been a 45% correlation between the y/y change in chain store sales and the change in nonauto retail sales less gasoline. · The ICSC-UBS retail chain-store sales index is constructed using the same-store sales (stores open for one year) reported by 78 stores of seven retailers: Dayton Hudson, Federated, Kmart, May, J.C. Penney, Sears and Wal-Mart. · During the latest week, the leading indicator of chain store sales from ICSC-UBS rose 0.2% (-3.9% y/y) and it has been declining steadily for more than a year. · The chain store sales figures are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
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| ICSC-UBS (SA, 1977=100) | 05/09/08 | 05/02/08 | Y/Y | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
| Total Weekly Chain Store Sales | 490.3 | 495.4 | 0.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% |
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