U.S. Construction Spending Off Sharply
May 1, 2008
By Tom Moeller
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· The value of residential building activity cratered 4.6% in March led by a 5.3% (-36.1% y/y) decline in building of single family units. That was similar to the decline in the prior several months. Building activity on multi-family units also slipped 0.5% (-17.0% y/y) and spending on improvements reversed nearly all of the prior month's jump and fell 4.8% (+10.4% y/y). · During the last twenty years there has been an 84% correlation between the q/q change in the value of residential building and its contribution to growth in real GDP.
· Growth in public construction over the last three months of 5.0% compared to a 12.2% rise last year. Construction on highways & streets rose at a 10.1% rate during the last three months after last year's rise of 7.4%. (The value of construction on highways & streets is nearly one third of the value of total public construction spending.) Building activity of educational facilities fell at a 3.8% rate after last year's 12.6% rise. · The more detailed categories of construction represent the Census Bureau’s reclassification of construction activity into end-use groups. Finer detail is available for many of the categories; for instance, commercial construction is shown for automotive sales and parking facilities, drugstores, building supply stores, and both commercial warehouses and mini-storage facilities. Note that start dates vary for some seasonally adjusted line items in 2000 and 2002 and that constant-dollar data are no longer computed. · Maps and data that illustrate subprime and alt-A mortgage loan conditions across the United States, from the Federal Reserve, can be found here.
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| Construction | March |
February |
Y/Y |
2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
| Total | -1.1% | 0.4% | -3.4% | -2.7% | 5.6% | 10.7% |
| Private | -1.7% | 0.3% | -6.7% | -6.8% | 4.7% | 12.0% |
| Residential | -4.6% | 0.2% | -19.9% | -18.1% | 0.5% | 13.7% |
| Nonresidential | 1.9% | 0.6% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 7.8% |
| Public | 0.6% | 0.4% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
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