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The
latest ISAE (Institute for Studies and Economic Analysis) surveys of
confidence among entrepreneurs in Italy continue to show weakness.
Even among retailers where confidence has held up fairly well, it
declined 4.0% in April from March but was still only 2.5% below April
2007. Confidence among manufacturers and miners, which has
been declining for over a year, declined 2.1% in April from March, and
was 11.4% below April 2007. Confidence in the construction
industry is available only through March. In that month confidence
in the construction industry was down 3.7% from February and was 16.4%
below March, 2007. These three confidence indicators are expressed as
indexes with base year 2000 and are shown in the first chart. · The ISAE survey of confidence in the service industries is expressed
in terms of percent balances. In April the excess of optimists
over pessimists in all the service industries increased from 2.7% to
4.0% but in April 2007, the excess of optimists was 44.7%. Confidence in the personal service sector declined the most (-13 basis
points) from March to April. Confidence in the business sector
declined by 5 basis points and confidence in the financial sector services
rose 2 basis points. Trends in confidence in the total, business,
personal and financial sectors of the service industry are shown in the
second and third charts where the steep declines in confidence over the
past year in all areas are apparent.

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