Italy’s Biz Confidence Continues to Sink

April 28, 2008

By Robert Brusca

· Italy’s Business confidence index is in the bottom 30 percent of its range since 1999.  Orders are in about the bottom 25th percentile of their range. Orders for consumer goods are in the bottom 15 percentile of their range. Investment goods continue to be the strongest of the sectors and consumer goods in the weakest sector. The last period in which the business index fell more sharply was in 2001. The index was last lower in early 2005. Production is extremely weak for consumer goods and weak for investment goods. Investment goods production is in the 40th percent of range while consumer goods are in the 11th percentile of their range. 

 

 

Italy ISAE Business Sentiment

         

Since January 1999

 

Apr-08

Mar-08

Feb-08

Jan-08

Percentile

Rank

Biz Confidence

86.9

88.8

89.5

91.1

30.4

84

TOTAL INDUSTRY

           

Order books & Demand

           

Total

-19

-16

-13

-8

23.8

78

Domestic

-20

-16

-16

-15

26.2

78

Foreign

-20

-17

-17

-11

29.5

62

Inventories

5

3

5

5

66.7

51

Production

-14

-11

-13

-12

26.5

81

INTERMEDIATE

           

Order books & Demand

           

Total

-18

-17

-14

-13

32.7

70

Domestic

-19

-16

-14

-17

34.0

68

Foreign

-17

-19

-21

-13

40.7

60

Inventories

6

4

4

3

72.4

15

Production

-13

-13

-13

-14

31.0

62

INVESTMENT GOODS

           

Order books & Demand

           

Total

-13

1

-4

1

38.4

59

Domestic

-18

-6

-8

-5

36.8

64

Foreign

-14

0

-8

-1

33.9

60

Inventories

6

0

6

4

62.2

34

Production

-4

3

-4

-1

40.9

45

CONSUMER GOODS

           

Order books & Demand

           

Total

-23

-22

-23

-18

13.6

92

Domestic

-23

-23

-24

-21

13.9

88

Foreign

-26

-20

-18

-24

19.1

89

Inventories

3

3

6

6

53.8

66

Production

-21

-18

-20

-17

11.1

96

Total number of months: 118

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