U.S. Existing Home Sales Fell, Prices Rose

April 22, 2008

By Tom Moeller

· According to the National Association of Realtors, March sales of existing home sales fell 2.0% m/m to 4.930M. The drop reversed most of February's unrevised 2.9% increase and it was as expected.

· The downward momentum behind last year's sales declines continued to look like it's flattened out. During the last three months sales were about even with the yearend '07 level.

· Despite a 2.6% one month rise in median home prices, the trend still is lower. The gain followed three consecutive months of decline and the three month average of home prices fell to a new cycle low, 12.6% below the high last August.

· Sales of existing single family homes in March fell 2.7% to 4.350M and reversed all of February's gain.

· By region, home sales in the Midwest fell a hard 6.5% (-15.9% y/y) while sales in the South also fell by 3.5% (-20.0% y/y). In the Northeast sales rose for the second consecutive month following three months of decline. Sales in the West rose a modest 2.2% after two months of decline.

· The number of unsold homes on the market rose a modest 1.0% (6.6% y/y). At the current sales rate the inventory still amounts to a 9.9 months supply which is barely down from last year's peak. For single family homes there is a 9.5 months supply at the current sales rate and for condos and co-ops there is a 12.8 months supply.

· New Monetary Policy Tools? from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis can be found here.

Existing Single Family
Home Sales (Thous)
March y/y % February March '07 2007 2006 2005
Total 4,930 -19.3 5,030 6,110 5,672 6,508 7,076
  Northeast 910 -18.8 890 1,120 1,008 1,090 1,168
  Midwest 1,160 -15.9 1,240 1,380 1,331 1,491 1,589
  South 1,920 -20.0 1,990 2,400 2,240 2,576 2,704
  West 940 -22.3 920 1,210 1,093 1,353 1,617
Single-Family 4,350 -18.4 4,470 5,330 4,958 5,703 6,181
Median Price, Total, $ 200,700 -7.7 195,600 217,400 216,617 222,000 218,217

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