Producer and Consumer Price Inflation in Eastern Europe
April 21, 2008
By Louise Curley
·
Earlier this
month consumer price indexes (CPI) for these countries were
released. Inflation at the consumer level, measured by the year to
year changes in the CPI is shown in the second chart and noted in the
table below. Consumer price inflation in all four countries has
shown a similar rising trend since early 2007. In contrast
to producer price inflation, it is Latvia where consumer price inflation
is currently highest at 16.7% and Russia, second highest at
13.3%. So far in 2008, inflation at the consumer level
has been higher than that at the producer level for all except Russia
where producer inflation has been twice as high as consumer price
inflation. The recent steep rise world in food
prices may account for the relative greater increase in the
consumer price index since food has a greater weight in the CPI than in
the PPI. Like the rest of the world, these countries have seen
record rises in food prices as shown in the third chart. |
| PPI AND CPI INFLATION (%) | Mar 08 | Feb 08 | Mar 07 | M/M Chg | Y/Y Chg | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
| PPI INFLATION | ||||||||
| RUSSIA | 26.59 | 26.38 | 5.95 | 2.30 | 20.24 | 14.30 | 12.41 | 20.55 |
| SLOVENIA | 5.71 | 5.54 | 5.01 | 0.17 | 0.70 | 5.37 | 2.34 | 2.70 |
| LATVIA | 10.47 | 11.41 | 15.99 | 0.94 | 5.52 | 16.14 | 10.36 | 7.81 |
| ESTONIA | 7.98 | 8.29 | 7.30 | -0.69 | 0.68 | 8.27 | 4.48 | 2.11 |
| CPI INFLATION | ||||||||
| RUSSIA | 13.29 | 12.64 | 7.39 | 0.65 | 5.90 | 9.00 | 9.68 | 12.68 |
| SLOVENIA | 6.84 | 6.52 | 2.37 | 0.32 | 4.47 | 3.61 | 2.46 | 2.49 |
| LATVIA | 16.74 | 16.88 | 8.49 | -0.14 | 8.25 | 10.09 | 6.53 | 6.77 |
| ESTONIA | 10.94 | 11.26 | 5.71 | -0.32 | 5.23 | 1.60 | 4.43 | 4.09 |