Challenger Layoffs Picked Up Modestly

December 5, 2007

By Tom Moeller

·  Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that job cut announcements in November picked up slightly to 73,140 from 63,114 during October. The number of job cut announcements has moved roughly sideways this year at a level reduced from prior years.

· Job cut announcements rose sharply m/m in the auto industry (-5.8% y/y) and energy (637.2% y/y) but showed little up or down movement in most others.

· During the last ten years there has been a 79% (inverse) correlation between the three month moving average of announced job cuts and the three month change payroll employment.

· Job cut announcements differ from layoffs. Many are achieved through attrition, early retirement or just never occur.

· Challenger also reported that announced hiring plans were roughly stable with the prior three months.

 

Challenger, Gray & Christmas

November

October

Y/Y

2006

2005

2004

Announced Job Cuts

73,140

63,114

-4.7%

839,822

1,072,054

1,039,935

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