U.S. Chain Store Sales Dipped
November 27, 2007
By Tom Moeller
· Despite the weak performance during Thanksgiving week, sales for the month of November rose 0.4% from the October average which fell 0.8% from September. · During the last ten years there has been a 45% correlation between the y/y change in chain store sales and the change in nonauto retail sales less gasoline.
· The leading indicator of chain store sales from ICSC-UBS fell 0.1% (-1.1% y/y) for the second weekly decline.
|
| ICSC-UBS (SA, 1977=100) | 11/24/07 | 11/17/07 | Y/Y | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
| Total Weekly Chain Store Sales | 478.2 | 478.8 | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% |