U.S. Budget Deficit Continued to Shrink
December 12, 2006
By Tom Moeller
· As a percentage of GDP, the U.S. budget deficit fell last year to 1.9% from 2.6% in FY2005. · Net revenues grew 8.8% y/y during the first two months of FY07. Individual income tax receipts (44% of total receipts) grew 11.8% as withheld taxes rose 9.7% due to employment growth and non-withheld taxes (primarily on capital gains) surged 45.8%. Corporate income taxes (13% of total receipts) surged 21.5% as corporate profits grew. Estate & gift taxes fell 1.1% while higher employment levels raised social insurance & retirement receipts by 4.2%. · U.S. net outlays grew 4.7% during this fiscal year's first two months versus last year. Defense spending (19% of total outlays) grew 13.6% and Medicare expenditures (12% of outlays) surged 42.5%. Social security spending (21% of outlays) rose 6.0% but the recent bond market rally dropped the government's interest expense by 11.0% y/y. · Middle-Income Tax Rates: Trends and Prospects from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City can be found here.
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| US
Government Finance |
November | October | Y/Y | FY 2006 | FY 2005 | FY 2004 |
| Budget Balance | -$75.6B | -$49.3B | -$83.1B (11/05) |
-$247.7 | -$318.7B | -$412.7B |
| Net Revenues | $145.9B | $167.7B | 5.1% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
| Net Outlays | $221.5B | $217.0B | -0.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% |