US Flow of Funds: Debt Growth Off Considerably
December 8, 2006
By Tom Moeller
· The slowdown reflected the federal government's debt which grew just 3.7% during 3Q and that slowed the y/y gain to 5.2%, half the growth rate of 2003. A 7.9% (10.6% y/y) rise in households' home mortgage liabilities also was the slowest since early 2001 and nearly half the rate of gain of just a year ago. · To the upside, consumer credit
growth quickened to 10.2% (4.3% y/y), but households' obligations in the
form of bank loans surged for the fourth straight quarter (58.1%, 134.6%
y/y). · The net worth of the US household sector jumped 1.5% in 3Q versus 2Q'06 to a record $54.064 trillion. · On the asset side of the ledger, total assets of households and nonprofit organizations rose at a 6.6% rate (7.4 y/y). Households' ownership of real estate rose at just a 3.9% rate (8.3% y/y), the slowest rate of gain in ten years. Mutual fund share holdings rose at a 12.2% rate (16.1% y/y) and the value of corporate equities held directly by households rose 3.5% (-2.7% y/y). The value of money market shares rose at a 20.6% rate with higher interest rates (17.2% y/y) but Treasury security holdings fell for the second consecutive quarter (+15.6% y/y). |
| Flow of Funds (Y/Y Chg.) | % of Total | 3Q'06 | 2Q'06 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 |
| Total Credit Market Debt Outstanding | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | |
| Federal Government | 12% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% |
| Households | 27% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% |
| Nonfinancial Corporate Business | 14% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Financial Sectors | 32% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% |
| Net Worth: Households & Nonprofit Organizations (Trillions) | $54.064 | $53.288 | $51.762 | $47.962 | $43.968 | |
| Tangible Assets: Households | $26.542 | $26.245 | $25.173 | $22.524 | $20.239 | |
| Financial Assets: Households | $40.516 | $39.768 | $38.802 | $36.444 | $33.541 |