Home Price Appreciation Slowest in Three Years

November 30, 2006

By Tom Moeller

· According to the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) home prices in the U.S. rose last quarter but the 0.9% gain was the slowest since 1998 and the y/y increase of 7.7% was the worst since 2003.

· Price declines were scattered throughout the country. Job cutbacks in the auto industry helped lower prices in Michigan for the second consecutive quarter and in New York a 0.3% decline dropped the y/y rate of home price appreciation to 6.5%, the worst since 1999. Prices also fell q/q in Massachusetts (for the second quarter, +1.1% y/y), Rhode Island (+4.6% y/y) and New Hampshire (+3.7% y/y).

· Home price appreciation in the District of Columbia continued reasonably firm last quarter at 1.0% but the still healthy y/y gain of 11.3% was down from last year's peak of 25.2%. Home prices in Idaho also turned in a strong showing with a 3.0% (17.5% y/y) increase. Notable for strength also were prices in Florida which rose 1.2% (15.1% y/y) though that is down from a 25.9% gain during all of last year.

· The House Price Indices in this report are weighted indexes based on repeat sales or refinancings using data provided by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac .

· The latest report from the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) can be found here

  

House Price Index (OFHEO) 3Q '06

2Q '06

Y/Y

2005 2004 2003
United States 0.9% 1.3% 7.7% 13.2% 10.7% 6.9%
  California 0.6% 1.5% 10.2% 23.4% 22.3% 12.3%
  New Jersey 0.8% 1.8% 9.2% 16.3% 14.9% 10.6%
  New York -0.3% 1.0% 6.5% 13.8% 13.3% 10.4%
  Michigan -0.5% -0.7% -0.6% 4.3% 4.3% 3.4%

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