U.S. Existing Home Sales & Prices Inch Up

November 28, 2006

By Tom Moeller

· Total October existing home sales inched up 0.5% to 6.24M from a slightly higher revised September level, according to the National Association of Realtors. The m/m increase was the first since February and was firmer than Consensus expectations for a decline to 6.15M sales.

· The data cover sales closed in the latest and previous months, and contrast to the new home sales data which tally sales at the signing of a contract.

· Sales of single-family homes reversed nearly all of the prior month's decline with a 1.3% increase to 5.50M but remained down 13.1% from the peak in June of 2005.

· The median price of an existing single-family home edged up 0.1% (-3.4% y/y) to 221,300 after two months of hefty decline. The price figures are not seasonally adjusted. 

 · Most of last month's rise in single family home sales was due to a 7.1% (-18.8% y/y) recovery in sales in the West. Sales also ticked up 0.8% (-10.7% y/y) in the Midwest. In the Northeast sales slid another 1.3% (-7.5% y/y) and down South sales slipped 0.9% 9-7.6% y/y). 

· The inventory of unsold existing single family homes increased 1.9% (32.7% y/y) after two months of decline and rose to 7.2 months' supply on the market.

· The latest release from the National Association of Realtors is available here.

· The Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy from Charles I. Plosser President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia can be found here.

Existing Home Sales (000, AR)

October

September

Y/Y

2005

2004

2003

Total Home Sales

 6,240

6,210

-11.5%

7,064

6,722

6,176

  Single Family Home Sales

5,500

5,430

-11.0%

6,170

5,912

5,443

Single Family Median Home Price (000)

$221.3

$221.1

-3.4%

$217.5

$192.8

$178.3

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