Taiwan and Singapore Report 3rd Quarter Gross Domestic Product

November 20, 2006

By Louise Curley

· Seasonally unadjusted GDP data are available for the third quarter for Taiwan and Singapore.  The year-over-year increase in real Taiwanese GDP in the third quarter was 4.4% while the nominal increase was 3.5% implying a decline in the deflator.  While most other countries in the Asian Pacific region--even Japan--have seen a reversal of price trends from declines to modest increases, Taiwan is still experiencing declines.  The year-over-year change in the deflator for Taiwan is compared with that of Singapore in the first chart.  While both countries show considerable variation in the year-over-year changes in the deflators, there is a clear downward trend in the Taiwan data and a slight upward trend in the Singapore data. 

· Real growth in Taiwan increased 4.4% in the third quarter.  So far this year growth has been steady at around the 4 plus percent level.  Growth in Singapore, on the other hand, has declined over the year from 10.7% in the first quarter to 8.2% in the second and 7.2% in the third.  The year-over-year growth in real GDP for the two countries is shown in the second chart. 

· Taiwan and, particularly, Singapore are two of the smaller nations of the Pacific Rim.  In dollar terms, the GDP of Taiwan is currently about $88 billion and Singapore, $33 billion, compared to Japan's $1.1 trillion.  They have been, however, among the faster growing nations in the East.

 

  Q3 06 Y/Y % Q2 06 Y/Y % Q 1 06 Y/Y % 2005   % 2004  % 2003  % 2002  % 2001  %
TAIWAN GDP
  Current NT$ (NSA) 3.37 3.35 3.47 3.49 4.38 1.22 3.37 -1.69
  Real 2001 NT$ (NSA) 4.92 4.57 4.39 4.03 6.07 3.43 4.25 -2.17
  
SINGAPORE
  Current S$ (NSA) 9.78 6.76 8.15 6.96 12.48 1.98 3.27 -4.03
  Real 2001 S$ (NSA) 10.66 8.17 7.21 6.35 8.72 2.93 4.04 -2.28

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